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Dalton FeelyMar 6, 2025

Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 9calls landed2 hits · 7 misses · 2 waiting
22.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
39.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 11Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Dalton Feely said

Chris Godwin man, he is a great fit for that Bucks offense ... Keep in Tampa Bay.
Dalton Feely, the lead quote
The episode
NFL Free Agency PREDICTIONS
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 5, 2025
  2. GradedSep 18–Nov 10, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Trade and Signing Calls2072
All2072

How each call scored

11 checkable claims — 11 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 22.2 out of 100, against 39.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Trade and Signing Calls2 hits · 7 misses · 2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Chris Godwin Jr. to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    “Chris Godwin man, he is a great fit for that Bucks offense ... Keep in Tampa Bay.”

    Chris Godwin Jr.Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Ended up with TB
    100Hit

    100 − 55 naive = 45 × 2 difficulty = +90 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    90
    player:
    Chris Godwin Jr.
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he stays
    was with:
    TB
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    55
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    55% of players are with the same club the next season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    TB
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Nick Bolton to move to Dallas Cowboys

    “I had him at Dallas, but the Rams I think could even be a better spot for him.”

    Nick BoltonDallas Cowboys

    Ended up with KCcalled DAL
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Nick Bolton
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    DAL
    was with:
    KC
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    KC
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jevon Holland to move to Indianapolis Colts

    “he's going to play that role in the Indianapolis defense ... The Colts need some playmakers on the back end of that defense ... Javon Holland fits them perfectly.”

    Jevon HollandIndianapolis Colts

    Ended up with NYGcalled IND
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jevon Holland
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    IND
    was with:
    MIA
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    NYG
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Stefon Diggs to move to Baltimore Ravens

    “I had him going to the rival of Pittsburgh Stews ... I'd going to Baltimore.”

    Stefon DiggsBaltimore Ravens

    Ended up with NEcalled BAL
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Stefon Diggs
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    BAL
    was with:
    HOU
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    NE
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Asante Samuel Jr. to move to San Francisco 49ers

    “a Sante Samuel Junior will stay in California and he goes to the San Francisco forty nine ers.”

    Asante Samuel Jr.San Francisco 49ers

    Ended up with PITcalled SF
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Asante Samuel Jr.
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    SF
    was with:
    LAC
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    PIT
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Davante Adams to move to Los Angeles Chargers

    “I had Davante Adams going to the Chargers”

    Davante AdamsLos Angeles Chargers

    Ended up with LARcalled LAC
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Davante Adams
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    LAC
    was with:
    LV/NYJ
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    LAR
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Khalil Mack to move to Washington Commanders

    “Khalil Mack thirty just turned thirty ... helped that defense and Dan Quinn out.”

    Khalil MackWashington Commanders

    Ended up with LACcalled WAS
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Khalil Mack
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    WAS
    was with:
    LAC
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    LAC
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Ronnie Stanley to move to New England Patriots

    “protect the man Ronnie Stanley ... hopefully he could do that again in New England protecting Drake May.”

    Ronnie StanleyNew England Patriots

    Ended up with BALcalled NE
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Ronnie Stanley
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    NE
    was with:
    BAL
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    BAL
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Josh Sweat to move to Arizona Cardinals

    “I think he's gonna leave Philly and he's gonna reunite with a former coach ... that'd be with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona.”

    Josh SweatArizona Cardinals

    Ended up with ARIcalled ARI
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Josh Sweat
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    ARI
    was with:
    PHI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    ARI
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Najee Harris to move

    “for some reason, when I close my eyes, I see Nasei Harris as a Raider.”

    Najee Harris

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  11. Bobby Wagner to move

    “the Dallas Boys ... I'm gonna go with Bobby Wagner ... Give me those extra points.”

    Bobby Wagner

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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