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Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 9, 2026

Previewing the trade deadline, Sullivan said they'd be stunned if Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. isn't dealt before the deadline, and floated Pittsburgh as the likely landing spot for Josh Downs.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I would be stunned if he wasn't moved before the deadline.
Tyler Sullivan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Cover 32: What every team should do at NFL trade deadline, plus game balls and gaffes from Week 9
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers“Pittsburgh Steelers : I think this could be the Josh Downs destination.”
  2. 2Brian Thomas Jr. to move — “moved before the deadline”“Brian Thomas Jr. played 19 snaps on Thursday... I would be stunned if he wasn't moved before the deadline.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers1Trade and Signing Calls————
Brian Thomas Jr. to move — “moved before the deadline”2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsPittsburgh Steelers

    Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsBrian Thomas Jr.

    Brian Thomas Jr. to move — “moved before the deadline”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.