Skip to main content

Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 8, 2025

Eisen delivered their Week 6 power rankings presented by Sonos, with the Lions first, the Eagles second and three new entries (Rams, 49ers, Broncos), plus side calls that the Rams will win in Baltimore, the Broncos are now the AFC West favorite, the Eagles will handle their next stretch of games, and Emeka Abuka is the clear Offensive Rookie of the Year front-runner.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 6calls landed3 hits · 3 misses · all settled
53.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
22.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
My new number one team atop the power rankings through five weeks are the Detroit lions.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: NFL Week 6 Power Rankings, plus Jon Bon Jovi In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 8, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants“They play the Giants twice in the next three weeks. They should have some good eats there... They should take care of business over the next three weeks”
  2. 2Denver Broncos to win the division“based on the fact that the Chiefs are two and three and the fact that the Raiders are one and four, this is now your new entering week six favorite to win the division”
  3. 3Power Rankings“I can't quit the Los Angeles Rams... Number nine on the list... I've put the 40 niners on this list... Number eight... the Jacksonville Jaguars... also number seven... the Denver Broncos... Number six... the packers... the Indianapolis Colts are are sitting there at five... Moving up one spot are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... I'm keeping the Bills at three. I'm knocking the Eagles down just one spot... my new number one team atop the power rankings... are the Detroit lions”
  4. 4Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens“I'm not quitting them, and I think they're gonna go to the Ravens and and have a day before I see them in London against the Jaguars.”
  5. 5Emeka Egbuka to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“you heard earlier in our number one, I mentioned Emeka Abuka as being the clear front runner for offensive rookie of the year”
  6. 6Philadelphia Eagles to beat Minnesota“The Philadelphia Eagles in between that go and visit Minnesota, which looks like they're gonna start maybe Carson Wentz in that game. They should take care of business over the next three weeks”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants1Game Outcome Picks—0100−172
Denver Broncos to win the division2Division Winners—1000+172
“I can't quit the Los Angeles Rams... Number nine on the list...…”3Power Rankings—21.6735−22.93
Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens4Game Outcome Picks—1000+172
Emeka Egbuka to win Offensive Rookie of the Year5Award PicksTetairoa McMillan won000
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Minnesota6Game Outcome Picks—1000+172
6 calls · 3 hits · 3 misses · all settled53.622.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 53.6 out of 100, against 22.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.72difficulty−172skill

    Closing line (Oct 9): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (77%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    17-34
    skill:
    −172
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Division WinnersDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    172
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.72
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Power RankingsSan Francisco 49ers

    “I can't quit the Los Angeles Rams... Number nine on the list... I've put the 40 niners on this list... Number eight... the Jacksonville Jaguars... also number seven... the Denver Broncos... Number six... the packers... the Indianapolis Colts are are sitting there at five... Moving up one spot are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... I'm keeping the Bills at three. I'm knocking the Eagles down just one spot... my new number one team atop the power rankings... are the Detroit lions”

    VerdictMiss
    21.67Miss · naive 35
    21.67this call35a naive guess−13.33worse than naive1.72difficulty−22.93skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −22.93
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    21.67
    baseline:
    35
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill

    Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 7 · favorite pick, Rams about 3 in 4 (75%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    17-3
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Award PicksEmeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Emeka Egbuka to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedTetairoa McMillan woncalled Emeka Egbuka
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Emeka Egbuka
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Minnesota

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    28-22
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    53.6naive 22.5

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.