Adam CarlsonAug 24, 2026

Carlson argues that after a poor preseason showing, quarterback Max Brosmer should be cut by the Vikings, with the team then weighing a practice squad spot for them.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

1 week on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−200Skillafter difficulty

What Adam Carlson said

As it stands, Brosmer should be among the Vikings' roster cuts, and the team should evaluate whether to put him on the practice squad.

Our reading: Max Brosmer to land on the practice squad

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: 3 Vikings on Thin Ice After Preseason Week 2: Michael Jurgens Is Running Out of Time
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 23
GradedSep 30

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Max Brosmer Minnesota Vikings
Max Brosmer to land on the practice squad
What happened1 week on a 53
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
−200
player:
Max Brosmer
season:
2026
claimed:
he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
1
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
4
weeks on the practice squad:
3
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Others on the same people

Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Eisen expects Sam Darnold to remain in Minnesota rather than leave in free agency, and believes the Browns will trade Myles Garrett out of the conference, to an NFC team.

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