Justin Penik· Mar 6, 2025
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.
“Sam Donald is gonna go to the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 8 trade and signing calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 9.5 out of 100, against 53.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Jamien Sherwood to move to Washington Commanders
“Jamie and sure would. I think it's going to go to the Washington Commanders and fill that void ... that Bobby Wagner is going to leave.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Jamien Sherwood
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- WAS
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYJ
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers
“Darius Slayton to the Chargers. I think it just makes total sense.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Darius Slayton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAC
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Charvarius Ward to move to Washington Commanders
“So how about Javarious Ward going to the commanders. They need corners”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Charvarius Ward
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- WAS
- was with:
- SF
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- IND
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Sam Darnold to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“Sam Donald is gonna go to the Pittsburgh Steelers. I think it just makes sense.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- PIT
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Zack Baun to move to Philadelphia Eagles
“The Philadelphia Eagles cannot let Zach Bond leave ... bring back Zach Bawn, pay him a little bit of money.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Zack Baun
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- PHI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- PHI
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Cam Robinson to move to Chicago Bears
“So how about Cam Robinson Chicago Bear left tackle?”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Cam Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- CHI
- was with:
- JAX/MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- HOU/CLE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsCam RobinsonChicago BearsMar 6, 2025
Cam Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Cam Robinson, you could be left tackle ... So how about Cam Robinson Chicago Bear left tackle?”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 75-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- HOU
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Cam Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- T
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- offensive snaps
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Aaron Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings
“I really hope the Minnesota Vikings bring back Aaron Jones ... I'll do a layup for my last pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsAaron RodgersMar 6, 2025
Aaron Rodgers to move
“So, I mean, I think he's going to be a giant ... he's going to New York.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Trevor RipleyRoster Spot Calls · Max BrosmerMiss · 0Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota.
- Adam CarlsonRoster Spot Calls · Max BrosmerMiss · 0Carlson argues that after a poor preseason showing, quarterback Max Brosmer should be cut by the Vikings, with the team then weighing a practice squad spot for him.
- Garrett PodellDepth Chart Calls · Case KeenumHit · 100Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Case KeenumHit · 100A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Case KeenumHit · 100With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Fox SportsTrade and Signing Calls · Austin EkelerMiss · 0The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined.
- Steve KubitzaTrade and Signing Calls · Za'Darius SmithHit · 100Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns.
- Mary Kay CabotTrade and Signing Calls · Za'Darius SmithMiss · 0Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · Austin EkelerMiss · 0Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP.
- Greg AumanTrade and Signing Calls · Will LevisHit · 100Auman predicts that Will Levis, released by Tennessee, will almost certainly be claimed on waivers by another team.
- John MaakaronTrade and Signing Calls · Joe BachieHit · 100Maakaron suggests several Lions players could be cut and land on other rosters: linebacker Joe Bachie, defensive linemen Ben Stille and Chris Smith, and running back Sione Vaki.