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Chad Jensen· Aug 8, 2026

Jensen says Pat Bryant is a genuine breakout candidate in Year 2 and effectively a top-tier receiver behind Sutton and Waddle, and that Kris Abrams-Draine has locked up the fifth cornerback spot on the roster.

“Bryant is looking like a bona fide breakout candidate .”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kris Abrams-Draine to make the roster

    “Entering Year 3, KAD is having a nice camp, securing his spot on the roster as the fifth cornerback.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kris Abrams-Draine
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

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  • Kris Abrams-Draine to be 5th on the depth chart

    “securing his spot on the roster as the fifth cornerback”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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