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Todd McShay· Nov 4, 2026

While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft.

“You get next up, like, 2028, 2029, potential top 10 picks at Keelan Russell versus Sam Levitt.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The McShay Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
potential top 10 pick (picks 1–10)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksKeelon RussellNov 4, 2026

    Keelon Russell to be picked “potential top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    “You get next up, like, 2028, 2029, potential top 10 picks at Keelan Russell versus Sam Levitt.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2021
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Keelon Russell
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2021; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    potential top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksSam LeavittNov 4, 2026

    Sam Leavitt to be picked “potential top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    “You get next up, like, 2028, 2029, potential top 10 picks at Keelan Russell versus Sam Levitt.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2021
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sam Leavitt
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2021; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    potential top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJacob HarrisNov 4, 2026

    Jacob Harris to be picked “top 50 prospect” (picks 1–50)

    “Jackson Harris over the middle, number four who's become the star. Absolute good. Like, top 50 prospect dude might be right.”

    Miss · 2Scored 1.94a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2021
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jacob Harris
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    1.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    141
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    1.94
    predicted pick:
    top 50 prospect (picks 1–50)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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