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Charlie Campbell· Oct 17, 2026

Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick.

“Becker looks like a top-10 pick for the 2027 NFL Draft.”

published in writing · Walter Football · read the original →

11 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 15 pick (picks 1–15)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

11 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Xavier Williams to be picked “top 15 pick” (picks 1–15)

    “He looks like a top 15 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, and he could end up going high in the first round if he continues his dominant play.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Xavier Williams
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with HOU
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    top 15 pick (picks 1–15)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score

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  • Trevor Goosby to be picked “legit top-10 pick next April” (picks 1–10)

    “Goosby looks like a legit top-10 pick next April and a potential franchise left tackle.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jelani McDonald to be picked “early-round pick next April”

    “This tape will help McDonald to be an early-round pick next April.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiah Smith to be picked “one of the first players drafted next April”

    “Overall, this tape will help Smith to be one of the first players drafted next April.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Bray Hubbard to be picked “day-two pick”

    “This tape could help Hubbard to be a day-two pick.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arch Manning to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “If he enters the draft, he still could be a first-round pick, as plenty of teams are in need of a young starter”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Yhonzae Pierre to be picked “potential first-round pick next April” (picks 1–32)

    “Pierre looks like a potential first-round pick next April.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jadan Baugh to be picked “opening-night pick / first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “Baugh is a legit first-round pick ... This tape will help him to be an opening-night pick in the NFL Draft.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Colin Simmons to be picked “lock for the top-10 next April” (picks 1–10)

    “If Simmons avoids a major injury, he looks like a lock for the top-10 next April.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiah Smith to make Pro Bowl

    “He could be a Pro Bowl wideout early in his career, and I think Smith has the ability to be one of the best players at his position in the league.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Charlie Becker to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    “Becker looks like a top-10 pick for the 2027 NFL Draft. ... This tape will help Becker to go in the top 10 next April.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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