Charlie Campbell· Oct 20, 2026
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if he declares.
“Becker looks like a top-10 pick for the 2027 NFL Draft.”
published in writing · Walter Football · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksXavier WilliamsOct 20, 2026
Xavier Williams to be picked “top 15 pick” (picks 1–15)
“He looks like a top 15 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, and he could end up going high in the first round if he continues his dominant play.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Xavier Williams
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with HOU
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- top 15 pick (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksArch ManningOct 20, 2026
Arch Manning to be picked “first-round pick (if he enters the draft)” (picks 1–32)
“If he enters the draft, he still could be a first-round pick, as plenty of teams are in need of a young starter and Manning has a good skill set and family pedigree.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksCharlie BeckerOct 20, 2026
Charlie Becker to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“Becker looks like a top-10 pick for the 2027 NFL Draft. ... This tape will help Becker to go in the top 10 next April.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksKelley JonesOct 20, 2026
Kelley Jones to be picked “first-rounder next April” (picks 1–32)
“Jones is on his way to have a starter grade and be a first-rounder next April.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksTrevor GoosbyOct 20, 2026
Trevor Goosby to be picked “legit top-10 pick next April” (picks 1–10)
“Goosby looks like a legit top-10 pick next April and a potential franchise left tackle.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike RennerMock Draft Picks · Trevor GoosbyMiss · 0Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18.
- Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2.
- Chris BrockmanMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning.
- Jason McIntyreMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick.
- Brady QuinnMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningMiss · 0Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. He also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if he comes out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if he has the year Quinn expects.
- Steve MuenchMock Draft Picks · Arch ManningPendingMuench suggested that Texas quarterback Arch Manning and Ole Miss quarterback Austin Simmons could both end up as first-round NFL draft picks.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsMock Draft Picks · Malachi CorleyMiss · 11Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
- Todd McShayMock Draft Picks · Keelon RussellMiss · 0While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft.
- Philip HughesMock Draft Picks · Kyle KennardMiss · 34Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected him as a Day 2 selection.
- Blaine GrisakMock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr.Hit · 84Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of his own from the 2024 pre-draft period, he suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.
- WaltMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in his 2026 mock draft.
- Rob RangMock Draft Picks · Malachi CorleyMiss · 24Rang updated his quarterback board for the 2027 NFL Draft, moving Ole Miss's Trinidad Chambliss to No. 1 ahead of Dante Moore and Arch Manning, and sorting the 14 QBs into first-round, Day 2 and Day 3 tiers. He also projects Jeremiah Smith as the No. 1 overall pick and says Manning would be a first-round pick if eligible.