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Rob Rang· Oct 15, 2026

Rang updated his quarterback board for the 2027 NFL Draft, moving Ole Miss's Trinidad Chambliss to No. 1 ahead of Dante Moore and Arch Manning, and sorting the 14 QBs into first-round, Day 2 and Day 3 tiers. He also projects Jeremiah Smith as the No. 1 overall pick and says Manning would be a first-round pick if eligible.

“And it is that area which has catapulted Trinidad Chambliss into not only the first-round conversation, but the possibility of being the first quarterback off the board in the 2027 draft.”

published in writing · Fox Sports · read the original →

18 checkable claims — 16 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 23.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

Jeremiah Smith · 2026 season · overall pick

7 calls from 6 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Rob Rang said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. not settled yet

Rob Rang — 1 overall pickthe room — 7 calls from 6 punditsmedian 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first-round selection (picks 1–32)They said
65What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

18 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Malachi Corley to be picked “first-round selection” (picks 1–32)

    “Mensah has that in Malachi Toney, who will be a first-round selection next year, when he's eligible for the NFL.”

    Miss · 24Scored 23.94a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2024
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Malachi Corley
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    23.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    65
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    23.94
    predicted pick:
    first-round selection (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Julian Sayin to be picked “Day 2 Prospect” (picks 33–100)

    “Day 2 Prospects ... 7. Julian Sayin, Ohio State Buckeyes”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Brendan Sorsby to be picked “Day 3 Prospect” (picks 101–257)

    “Day 3 Prospects ... 13. Brendan Sorsby”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Darian Mensah to be picked “Day 2 Prospect” (picks 33–100)

    “Day 2 Prospects ... 5. Darian Mensah, Miami (FL) Hurricanes”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • C.J. Carr to be picked “Day 2 Prospect” (picks 33–100)

    “Day 2 Prospects ... 6. CJ Carr, Notre Dame Fighting Irish”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiah Smith to be picked at number 1

    “Sayin has that, of course, with Jeremiah Smith, who I'm projecting as the No. 1 overall pick in my latest mock draft.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jayden Maiava to be picked “Day 2 Prospect” (picks 33–100)

    “Day 2 Prospects ... 8. Jayden Maiava, USC Trojans”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dante Moore to be picked “Day 1 Prospect (first round)” (picks 1–32)

    “Day 1 Prospects ... 2. Dante Moore, Oregon Ducks”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Drew Mestemaker to be picked “Day 1 Prospect (first round)” (picks 1–32)

    “Day 1 Prospects ... 4. Drew Mestemaker, Oklahoma State Cowboys”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Gunner Stockton to be picked “Day 3 Prospect” (picks 101–257)

    “Day 3 Prospects ... 12. Gunner Stockton, Georgia Bulldogs”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Nico Iamaleava to be picked “Day 3 Prospect” (picks 101–257)

    “Day 3 Prospects ... 10. Nico Iamaleava, UCLA Bruins”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • John Mateer to be picked “Day 3 Prospect” (picks 101–257)

    “Day 3 Prospects ... 14. John Mateer, Oklahoma Sooners”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “Day 1 Prospect (first round)” (picks 1–32)

    “Day 1 Prospects ... 1. Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss Rebels”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arch Manning to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “there is no doubt in my mind that if he were to make himself eligible, Manning would be a first-round pick”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sam Leavitt to be picked “Day 3 Prospect” (picks 101–257)

    “Day 3 Prospects ... 11. Sam Leavitt, LSU Tigers”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trinidad Chambliss to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “catapulted Trinidad Chambliss into not only the first-round conversation, but the possibility of being the first quarterback off the board in the 2027 draft”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Top Player ListsOct 15, 2026

    “QB Power Rankings for the 2027 NFL Draft: 1. Trinidad Chambliss ... 14. John Mateer”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • LaNorris Sellers to be picked “Day 3 Prospect” (picks 101–257)

    “Day 3 Prospects ... 9. LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina Gamecocks”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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