Chris Simms· Nov 5, 2026
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
“I just think the Bears are the elitist of them all.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 6 position group finish, 1 depth chart call, 1 mock draft pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 47.4 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Where this call stands in the room
Seattle Seahawks · 2026 season7 calls from 7 pundits between 1 and 5. Chris Simms said 1. the room's median is 2. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Jaguars at Ravens 25 calls
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsNov 5, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Baltimore 14
“I certainly am gonna pick Jacksonville to win the football game... I'll give a score and go... I'm gonna say 30 to 14.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 0+130 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 33-10
- skill:
- 130
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.38
- predicted margin:
- 16
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 30–14 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 16) and more points (44).
- Mock Draft PicksMalachi CorleyNov 5, 2026
Malachi Corley to be picked “top 15 pick” (picks 1–15)
“Malachi Toney is a top 15 pick next year in the draft anyways”
Miss · 11Scored 11.46a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Malachi Corley
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 11.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 65
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 11.46
- predicted pick:
- top 15 pick (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score
- Position Group FinishChicago BearsNov 5, 2026
Chicago Bears offense to be the best in the league
“But if you're gonna make me pick one right now, I'm gonna take the bears... I just think the Bears are the elitist of them all.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishMinnesota VikingsNov 5, 2026
Minnesota Vikings defense to be the best in the league
“Yeah. I'm gonna take Minnesota when it comes to pass defense.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
“They've now traded Brissett to the Ravens and, well, obviously, think he starts the week after this.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 5, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense to be the best in the league
“yeah, I'm gonna take Tampa's run defense over anybody in the league right now.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishCincinnati BengalsNov 5, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the best in the league
“So I'm gonna give the Bengals the edge here. I am.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishSeattle SeahawksNov 5, 2026
Seattle Seahawks defense to be the best in the league
“I'm still gonna take Seattle even though, yeah, I'd probably rather have Minnesota scheme when all said and done”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishChicago BearsNov 5, 2026
Chicago Bears running back to be the best in the league
“I think for me, it becomes to the 40 niners and the bears, and I I think I'm gonna give the bears the edge in this one as well.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More position group finish
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris LongPosition Group Finish · Green Bay PackersPendingPreviewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week.
- Christopher CarterPosition Group Finish · Pittsburgh SteelersPendingCarter argues the Steelers' defense genuinely belongs among the NFL's top five, crediting Patrick Graham's scheme, and frames the discussion around whether that level holds for the rest of the season.
- Nick WrightPosition Group Finish · Buffalo BillsPendingWright picked Buffalo to beat Baltimore in Lamar Jackson's return game, argued the Bills' much-maligned defense will climb to roughly 24th in the league rather than finishing 30th, expects Jacksonville to beat the Ravens four days later, and said a win in Denver would make 12 wins Kansas City's floor.
- Dan OrlovskyPosition Group Finish · Buffalo BillsPendingOrlovsky argued that the Bills' defensive issues are a handful of blown-coverage snaps per game, and that if Buffalo cleans those up it has the talent and scheme to finish as a top-15, top-half-of-the-league defense.
- Jared FeinbergPosition Group Finish · Las Vegas RaidersPendingFeinberg argues the Raiders have become the worst rushing offense in the NFL again and cannot win games without a run game, while praising Tre Tucker's emergence; most of the piece is retrospective reaction to the loss rather than forward-looking claims.
- Chad JensenPosition Group Finish · Denver BroncosPendingJensen expects Denver's starting offensive line to rebound into top-five status now that the schedule eases, and he anticipates left guard Ben Powers leaving in free agency next offseason. He also frames five trade candidates — Jonathan Taylor, Quenton Nelson, Bucky Irving, Vita Vea and Saquon Barkley — as realistic targets rather than moves he predicts will happen.