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Bucky Brooks#26 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 16, 2025

Brooks matched Jeremiah's divisional-round picks except they took the Ravens over the Bills, arguing Baltimore has more talent and Buffalo lacks an elite perimeter playmaker.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 misses · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#26Bucky Brooks’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Bucky Brooks said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The only change that we have is I had the Ravens over the Buffalo Bills.
Bucky Brooks, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Can Any of the Top 5 QB Draft Prospects Compete with Playoff Stars? + Divisional Round Preview
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens to beat Buffalo Bills“I had the Ravens over the Buffalo Bills. Everything it says to me, DJ the Ravens over the Bills.”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans“In the end, though, to me, this is all about Kansas City and Kansas City being able to do what they typically do... Kansas City knows what they're doing when they get to this point.”
  3. 3Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams“If they commit to running the ball and they play the physical brand of football that they have started to embrace and play. Yeah, it's gonna be a hard one for the Rams... The only change that we have is I had the Ravens over the Buffalo Bills.”
  4. 4Detroit Lions to beat Commanders“The only change that we have is I had the Ravens over the Buffalo Bills. (otherwise same as Chiefs, Lions, Eagles)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens to beat Buffalo Bills1Game Outcome Picks—0100−100
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams3Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Detroit Lions to beat Commanders4Game Outcome Picks—000
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled5075

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Buffalo Bills

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Jan 19): Ravens by 1.5 · a toss-up, Ravens 52%, Bills 48%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    25-27
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 18): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (81%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    14-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 19): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    22-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat Commanders

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 18): Lions by 8.5 · favorite pick, Lions about 4 in 5 (80%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    45-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 75

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.