Dave DameshekSep 2, 2026

In an NFC win-total draft, Damoshek predicted 11 wins for the Eagles (while doubting they win the division), Vikings over 8.5 plus an outright NFC North title, Cowboys over 9.5 and the NFC East, Panthers over 7.5 and the NFC South, Rams to win 12 games and the NFC West, and Bears to reach 10 wins and the playoffs. They also called the Saints 0-2 to start with losses at Detroit and Baltimore.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · 11 waiting

50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2Games calledeveryone’s picks below

11Waitingnot graded yet

What Dave Dameshek said

I don't think this team is winning the division, but I do think they're going to win 11 games.

Dave Dameshek, the lead quote

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: 2026 NFC Win Totals Draft with Dave Dameshek
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 2
PlayedSep 13–20
GradedSep 15–21

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Misses	Waiting
Game Outcome Picks	1	1	0
Season Win Totals	0	0	6
Division Winners	0	0	4
Playoff Picks	0	0	1
All	1	1	11

How each call scored

13 checkable claims — 6 season win totals, 4 division winners, 2 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 6 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 4.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Chicago Bears · 2026 season · wins

Dave Dameshek — 10 winsthe room — 4 calls from 3 punditsmedian 10 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Game Outcome Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸

Baltimore Ravens to beat Saints
“And the Saints are going to be 0-2 right out of the gate. They go at Detroit and at Baltimore.”
Baltimore Ravens
Saints 24–17Saints at Ravens
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
24-17
skill:
0
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Detroit Lions to beat Saints
“And the Saints are going to be 0-2 right out of the gate. They go at Detroit and at Baltimore.”
Detroit Lions
Lions 31–30Saints at Lions
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
30-31
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals6 waitingShow ▸

Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins
“I'll go bears up to 10 again, because yeah, of my faith in Ben Johnson.”
Chicago Bears
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
“the minnesota vikings over eight and a half wins”
Minnesota Vikings
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 10 wins
“I am going to say that the one that we perceive to be the biggest rival of the commies, the Dallas Cowboys... I'm with you on Cowboys over nine and a half”
Dallas Cowboys
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
“I don't think this team is winning the division, but I do think they're going to win 11 games. That's the Philadelphia Eagles.”
Philadelphia Eagles
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Carolina Panthers to finish with 8 wins
“that's why I will stay in the South and tell you that the champion and therefore they will transcend the seven and a half will be the Carolina Panthers once again”
Carolina Panthers
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 12 wins
“I'm going to take the Rams over the 11 and a half... Still, I'm going to say 12 wins.”
Los Angeles Rams
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Division Winners4 waitingShow ▸

Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“And there's a late push now. Seahawks are going to end up winning that division. I almost fell into that trap. It's going to be the Rams.”
Los Angeles Rams
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“but great news. You're going to win the NFC East this year.”
Dallas Cowboys
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
“Not that you ask, but I'm going to say it anyway. They're going to win that division outright.”
Minnesota Vikings
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Carolina Panthers to win the division
“the champion and therefore they will transcend the seven and a half will be the Carolina Panthers once again”
Carolina Panthers
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Playoff Picks1 waitingShow ▸

Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“I do think they're going to light a lot of teams up over the course of the season enough to get into the playoffs... and get the double digit wins.”
Chicago Bears
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Cleveland Browns · Hit 100
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · San Francisco 49ers · Miss 0
Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.