Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 2, 2026
Parkins lays the points with the Eagles and Cowboys, takes Baltimore to beat Pittsburgh and win the AFC North, picks Carolina over Tampa Bay and Seattle over San Francisco, and says they'd probably pick the Rams to come out of the NFC.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Danny Parkins said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromBaltimore wins this game and the AFC North.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Ravens vs. Steelers preview, Miami beats Ohio Sate, Panthers vs. Bucs, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 2
- GradedAug 17
- 1Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“So are they your pick to win this NFC? I probably will pick the Rams.”
- 2Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington“So I like the Eagles to win the game.”
- 3Baltimore Ravens to win the division“Baltimore wins this game and the AFC North. Easy.”
- 4Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers“So I have the Baltimore Ravens... Baltimore wins this game and the AFC North.”
- 5Dallas Cowboys to beat New York Giants“you can count on the Dallas Cowboys beating the New York Giants... I'll happily lay only three and a half”
- 6Seattle Seahawks to beat forty niners“I got Seattle. Seattle to me, they are the more complete football team.”
- 7Carolina Panthers to beat Bucks“I got the Panthers... I will take Carolina”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 50 | 0 | +53 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baltimore Ravens to win the division3 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −106 | |
| Dallas Cowboys to beat New York Giants5 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −106 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to beat forty niners6 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +106 | |
| Carolina Panthers to beat Bucks7 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −106 | |
| 7 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 5 misses · all settled | 21.4 | 42.9 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 21.4 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR50Close · naive 050this call−0a naive guess=50better than naive×1.06difficulty=+53skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 53
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
2Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 4): Eagles by 3 · favorite pick, Eagles 62%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 24-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
3Division WinnersBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- won the division:
- no
4Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.06difficulty=−106skillClosing line (Jan 4): Ravens by 4.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 2 in 3 (66%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 24-26
- skill:
- −106
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
5Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to beat New York Giants
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.06difficulty=−106skillClosing line (Jan 4): Cowboys by 3 · favorite pick, Cowboys 60%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 17-34
- skill:
- −106
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
6Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat forty niners
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.06difficulty=+106skillClosing line (Jan 3): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 57%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 13-3
- skill:
- 106
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
7Game Outcome PicksCarolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers to beat Bucks
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.06difficulty=−106skillClosing line (Jan 3): Buccaneers by 3 · underdog pick, Panthers 42%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 14-16
- skill:
- −106
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
21.4naive 42.9
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
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Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
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Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.