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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 24, 2025

Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · 2 waiting
47.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
52.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Carr because they have to replace that position.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
OverReaction Monday: NFL Offseason/Combine Preview
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidFeb 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–Nov 10, 2026
  1. 1Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys“I think Micah stays a cowboy. ... I think he'll just do it late. ... It'll be the Dallas Cowboys.”
  2. 2Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2“The Browns are taking Abdul. ... I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Carr because they have to replace that position.”
  3. 3Myles Garrett to move“Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done.”
  4. 4James Cook to move to Buffalo Bills“This may have been a whole long winded table pound for something that won't be necessary because the bills will pay him.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys1Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with GB055−110
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 22Mock Draft PicksWent 395.7650—
Myles Garrett to move3Trade and Signing Calls————
James Cook to move to Buffalo Bills4Trade and Signing Calls————
4 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 2 waiting47.952.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 47.9 out of 100, against 52.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsMicah ParsonsDallas Cowboys

    Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys

    What happenedEnded up with GB
    0Miss · naive 55
    0this call55a naive guess−55worse than naive2difficulty−110skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −110
    player:
    Micah Parsons
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he stays
    was with:
    DAL
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    55
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    55% of players are with the same club the next season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    GB
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterCleveland Browns

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 2
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsMyles Garrett

    Myles Garrett to move

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsJames CookBuffalo Bills

    James Cook to move to Buffalo Bills

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    47.9naive 52.5

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