Terron ArmsteadJul 4, 2025

Guest host (fill-in for Shannon Sharpe) predicted Shedeur Sanders will not open the season as Cleveland's starter but will be inserted as the Browns' starting quarterback around Week 6, since the team won't be competitive early.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100

No. 1What happenedcalled No. 1 · by passing yards

91.67A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+16.67Skillafter difficulty

What Terron Armstead said

So I think about week six he'll be inserted as a start in QB.

Our reading: Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart

Where it was said: Nightcap (podcast)
The episode: Nightcap - Hour 2: Will Shedeur win Brown QB competition + Canelo-Crawford predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJul 4, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Shedeur Sanders · 2025 season

Terron Armstead — 1the room — 3 calls from 3 punditsmedian 1what happened — 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

1They said

1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Depth Chart Calls Shedeur Sanders Cleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
16.67
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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