Bucky Brooks#26 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 8, 2026
Brooks laid out their mock draft: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at No. 3, David Bailey to the Titans at No. 4, and a defensive back for the Bengals at No. 10. They also expect Shedeur Sanders to win the Browns' starting quarterback job.
Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original
5 of 6calls landed5 hits · 1 close call · all settled
91.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
56.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
What Bucky Brooks said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMendoz is the best quarterback available in this class.
- Where it was said
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
- The episode
- Andy Furman and Bucky Brooks preview Super Bowl LX, whether or not Shedeur Sanders is a franchise QB, and go over Bucky's NFL Mock Draft 1.0
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 8
- GradedAug 13–Oct 1
- 1Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2“Rvil Reese is a dynamic playmaker. He's an off ball linebacker... this is a great way for them to kind of get it going by having Arva Reach joined the lineup.”
- 2Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“You got the Raiders number one and Fernando Mendoz... the Raiders have an obvious needed quarterback. Mendoz is the best quarterback available in this class.”
- 3Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10“They got the tenth pick, who do they go with? Kevin downas to me, is to pick right.”
- 4Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3“you said the kid from Miami can be the offensive tackle... whether you go Francis Mauigoa... as we're thinking about the Cardinals and rebuilding this thing”
- 5David Bailey to be picked at number 4“I have David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech... David Bailey is the guy that I picked in this mock draft.”
- 6Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart“this is one where you expect shud Doer Sanders to be the starter, but he's going to have to earn it and win some kind of corporate quarterback competition... He still, i would say, is in the driver's seat.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvell Reese to be picked at number 21 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 5 | 87.81 | 50 | +35 | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +35 | |
| Caleb Downs to be picked at number 103 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 11 | 95.76 | 50 | +35 | |
| Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 34 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 10 | 73.84 | 50 | +35 | |
| David Bailey to be picked at number 45 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 2 | 91.7 | 50 | +35 | |
| Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart6 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 100 | 91.67 | +8.33 | |
| 6 calls · 5 hits · 1 close call · all settled | 91.5 | 56.9 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive6 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 91.5 out of 100, against 56.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pick2They said
5What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York Jets
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
What happenedWent 5mocked at 287.81Hit · naive 5085this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=35better than naive×1difficulty=+35skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85
2Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 5085this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=35better than naive×1difficulty=+35skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85
3Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsCincinnati Bengals
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
What happenedWent 11mocked at 1095.76Hit · naive 5085this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=35better than naive×1difficulty=+35skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85
4Mock Draft PicksFrancis MauigoaArizona Cardinals
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
What happenedWent 10mocked at 373.84Close · naive 5085this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=35better than naive×1difficulty=+35skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85
5Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyTennessee Titans
David Bailey to be picked at number 4
What happenedWent 2mocked at 491.7Hit · naive 5085this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=35better than naive×1difficulty=+35skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85
6Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards100Hit · naive 91.67100this call−91.67a naive guess=8.33better than naive×1difficulty=+8.33skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
91.5naive 56.9
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Discussing Myles Garrett's trade request, Eisen said they expect Garrett to get their way and be moved out of Cleveland rather than stay, which is why staying would be shocking.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Rodgers · Miss 0
Eisen ranked their top five most impressive Pro Bowl campaigns of the season, topped by Sam Darnold, and predicted that Sunday would be Aaron Rodgers' last game with the Jets.Doug Joubert · Score Predictions · Cleveland Browns · Miss 26
Joubert picks the Browns to win 28-17, saying the Saints haven't improved over the first half of the season despite Cleveland starting Shedeur Sanders.Pat McAfee · Game Outcome Picks · Cleveland Browns · Miss 0
McAfee picked the Browns, with Shedeur Sanders starting, to beat the Saints in New Orleans.Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.