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Michael Middlehurst-SchwartzSep 18, 2026

Picks the Eagles over the Titans.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Eagles 24–20What happenedEagles at Titans
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+194Skillafter difficulty

What Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz said

Our reading: Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans

Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Titans vs. Eagles Week 2 Game Picks: Experts Giving Tennessee No Chance for Home Upset
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans

    What happenedEagles 24–20Eagles at Titans
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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