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Vito Chirco· Oct 22, 2026

Chirco expects the Lions to beat the Packers at home in Week 7, giving Detroit a 60 percent chance, while warning that Josh Jacobs, Christian Watson and Matthew Golden will trouble Detroit's defense.

“However, at this present juncture, I'm still willing to give the Lions a 60 percent chance to pull off the Week 7 victory at home.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Detroit Lions to beat Green Bay Packers

    “However, at this present juncture, I'm still willing to give the Lions a 60 percent chance to pull off the Week 7 victory at home.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    17-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5 · favorite pick, Lions 63%.

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