Richard Sherman· Nov 4, 2026

Sherman ranked the 49ers first in his Week 9 top five ahead of Buffalo, Chicago, Jacksonville and Denver, picked every Week 9 game with scores, and gave midseason award picks headlined by Brock Purdy for MVP and Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year.

“I got the Seattle Seahawks in this game, but I think it's going to be more of a fun game than we predicted.”

said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast) · read the original →

25 checkable claims — 12 score predictions, 6 award picks, 3 game outcome picks, 2 coach award picks, 1 player season number and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 70.4 out of 100, against 42.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

The games in this take

25 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks San Francisco 49ersNov 4, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to beat Las Vegas Raiders
“I got the San Francisco 49ers winning this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
17-38
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksNov 4, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Arizona Cardinals 21
“I give 28-21 Seattle.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 66.97+25.53 skill
How this was scored
score:
3-17
skill:
25.53
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
66.97
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.13
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5, total 39.5 · this 28–21 calls a closer game (Seahawks by 7) and more points (49).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Houston TexansNov 4, 2026
Houston Texans 21 — LA Chargers 10
“Give me Houston, 21-10.”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 0+115.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
44-22
skill:
115.14
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.13
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 21–10 calls a bigger Texans win (by 11) and fewer points (31).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New England PatriotsNov 4, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Green Bay Packers
“Give me New England in this one, Mitchell.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
45-27
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Chicago BearsNov 4, 2026
Chicago Bears 30 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
“Give me the Chicago Bears in this one. 30 to 17.”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 93.16-26.47 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-27
skill:
−26.47
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
93.16
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.13
predicted margin:
13
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 30–17 calls a bigger Bears win (by 13) and fewer points (47).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Dallas CowboysNov 4, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 20 — Indianapolis Colts 17
“Give me the Cowboys. 17-20.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 40.82+88.6 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-23
skill:
88.6
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
40.82
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 3) and fewer points (37).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Cleveland BrownsNov 4, 2026
Cleveland Browns to beat New Orleans Saints
“So I got the Browns in this one, even though Polymark is disagreeing with me.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
22-23
skill:
−156
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NO
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5 · underdog pick, Browns about 1 in 3 (34%).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Kansas City ChiefsNov 4, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — New York Jets 17
“giving me Kansas City 28-17”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 50+33.43 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-35
skill:
33.43
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
71.43
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 11) and fewer points (45).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Los Angeles RamsNov 4, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 21 — Washington Commanders 17
“So I think, give me the Rams in this one. And a fun game, 21-17.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 33.68+92.31 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-13
skill:
92.31
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
33.68
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5, total 48.5 · this 21–17 calls a closer game (Rams by 4) and fewer points (38).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Detroit LionsNov 4, 2026
Detroit Lions 34 — Miami Dolphins 16
“Give me Detroit. They're going to score over 30, so give them 34. The Dolphins are going to put up a fight, 34 to 16.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 26.54+84.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
19-9
skill:
84.89
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
26.54
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
18
Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5, total 49.5 · this 34–16 calls a bigger Lions win (by 18) and more points (50).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New York GiantsNov 4, 2026
New York Giants 28 — Philadelphia Eagles 16
“give me the Giants in this one... Give me the Giants 28-16.”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 31.3+92.31 skill
How this was scored
score:
19-11
skill:
92.31
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
31.3
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
12
Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3, total 38.5 · this 28–16 calls a bigger Giants win (by 12) and more points (44).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Denver BroncosNov 4, 2026
Denver Broncos 28 — Carolina Panthers 15
“I got the Broncos in this one... Give me Denver 28 to... 15.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 38.44+66.31 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-21
skill:
66.31
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
38.44
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
13
Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 28–15 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 13) and fewer points (43).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cincinnati BengalsNov 4, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 30 — Atlanta Falcons 27
“Give me Cincinnati in a very close game. 27-30.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 10.09+88.27 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-17
skill:
88.27
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
10.09
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.24
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 30–27 calls the line’s margin (Bengals by 3) and more points (57).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Jacksonville JaguarsNov 4, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Baltimore Ravens 13
“Give me Jacksonville in this one. 24-13.”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 0+111.43 skill
How this was scored
score:
33-10
skill:
111.43
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
71.43
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
10
naive home margin:
0.38
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 24–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 11) and fewer points (37).
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award PicksNov 4, 2026
Brian Flores to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“It's got to be Brian Flores in Minnesota. The most impactful assistant, I think, this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Patrick MahomesNov 4, 2026
Patrick Mahomes to win Comeback Player of the Year
“Well, it's going to be Patrick Mahomes... Give me Patrick Mahomes.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Jaxon Smith-Njigba Seattle SeahawksNov 4, 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I'm going with Jackson Smith and Jigba. He's still on record pace.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsNov 4, 2026
“I think the San Francisco 49ers... are the most complete team in the National Football League... But the Buffalo Bills stay at two for me... And at number three... the Bears are there... At number four, Jags... And at number five, the Broncos.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Garrett Wilson New York JetsNov 4, 2026
Garrett Wilson to record 1,000 receiving yards
“Garrett Wilson, 527 yards on his way to another thousand yard season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Buffalo BillsNov 4, 2026
Buffalo Bills 19 — Minnesota Vikings 13
“Give me Buffalo. 19, 13 to 19”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks David BaileyNov 4, 2026
David Bailey to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“Yeah, give me David Bailey. Stanford guy.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ersNov 4, 2026
Brock Purdy to win MVP
“Most valuable player in the NFL, we're going to start with the number one team in my power rankings, Brock Purdy.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Denzel Boston Cleveland BrownsNov 4, 2026
Denzel Boston to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Give me Denzel Boston out in Cleveland.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award PicksNov 4, 2026
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
“Mid-season, Kyle Shanahan... but Kyle Shanahan for me.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks T.J. Watt Pittsburgh SteelersNov 4, 2026
T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year
“But give me T.J. Watt in Pittsburgh.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
Zac CorneliusScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 29
Zach projected the Buccaneers to beat the Bears 24-12.
Jared DubinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 71
Dubin predicts a lopsided Jaguars win over the Ravens on Thursday night and takes the Packers to upset the Patriots in Week 9.
Jared DubinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 71
Dubin predicted scores for the same seven Week 9 games, including a lopsided Jacksonville win, a Bengals victory over Atlanta, and low-scoring wins for Denver, Green Bay, Chicago and Buffalo.
Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64
Dajani picked all seven featured Week 9 games with final scores, including a blowout Jaguars win in Baltimore, an Atlanta upset of Cincinnati in Madrid, and a narrow Bills win in Minneapolis.
Mitchell EisensteinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64
Mitchell gave his Week 9 top-five power rankings, keeping Buffalo first and the 49ers second while elevating the Bears, Jaguars and Lions, and picked a slate of Week 9 games including a Packers win in New England, a Panthers upset of Denver, and blowouts for Detroit, Kansas City and Houston. He also tabbed Jonah Coleman as a late-season Offensive Rookie of the Year pick.

Sherman ranked the 49ers first in his Week 9 top five ahead of Buffalo, Chicago, Jacksonville and Denver, picked every Week 9 game with scores, and gave midseason award picks headlined by Brock Purdy for MVP and Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

25 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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