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Nick Wright· Nov 6, 2026

Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside his spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.

“I think Carolina is going to win outright.”

said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 51 out of 100, against 10 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsHouston TexansNov 6, 2026

    Houston Texans 27 — Chargers 12

    “I think the Texans blow them out. I think this is 27. to 12 type of game”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 0+130 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    130
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    15

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 27–12 calls a bigger Texans win (by 15) and fewer points (39).

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  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 6, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Green Bay

    “I think New England should win by three or four points. I think this will be a good game.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsNov 6, 2026

    Detroit Lions to beat Miami

    “Detroit's got to win. And I think they will win. I'm not comfortable though, laying a full touchdown”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    19-9
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5 · favorite pick, Lions 72%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersNov 6, 2026

    Carolina Panthers to beat Denver

    “I think Carolina is going to win outright. I think this is a game Denver, after that huge Chiefs win, they don't get quite the late-game heroics”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3 · underdog pick, Panthers 42%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsNov 6, 2026

    Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Jets 20

    “I think this is a 31 to 20 Chiefs win”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 50+33.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    33.43
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 11) and more points (51).

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