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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 19, 2026

Amid their Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and they'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. They also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · 2 waiting
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Jags are going to win this game outright.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
The episode
What's Wright - NFL Week 2 Predictions: Colts-Chiefs, Steelers-Patriots, Jags-Broncos, Saints-Ravens, Vikings-Bears
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21
  1. 1Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver“The Jags are going to win this game outright. And I get two and a half points.”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Indy“I would be very, very surprised if the Chiefs lose.”
  3. 3Carolina Panthers to beat Atlanta“I expect Carolina to win. I'm laying less than a field goal.”
  4. 4Availability Calls“So this is would be Zay Flowers dependent. So he didn't practice Wednesday... My guess is he's not playing. (Week 2, New Orleans at Baltimore)”
  5. 5Availability Calls“Ladd didn't practice on Wednesday, and I don't expect Ladd to play. (Week 2, Vegas at the Chargers)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver1Game Outcome PicksBroncos 20–130100−194
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Indy2Game Outcome PicksChiefs 33–301001000
Carolina Panthers to beat Atlanta3Game Outcome PicksPanthers 34–31000+194
“So this is would be Zay Flowers dependent. So he didn't…”4Availability Calls————
“Ladd didn't practice on Wednesday, and I don't expect Ladd to…”5Availability Calls————
5 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · 2 waiting66.766.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 availability calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver

    What happenedBroncos 20–13Jaguars at Broncos
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    −194
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Indy

    What happenedChiefs 33–30Colts at Chiefs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Chiefs by 6 · favorite pick, Chiefs 70%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    30-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksCarolina Panthers

    Carolina Panthers to beat Atlanta

    What happenedPanthers 34–3Panthers at Falcons
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Panthers 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CAR
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Availability CallsZay FlowersBaltimore Ravens

    “So this is would be Zay Flowers dependent. So he didn't practice Wednesday... My guess is he's not playing. (Week 2, New Orleans at Baltimore)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Availability CallsLadd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

    “Ladd didn't practice on Wednesday, and I don't expect Ladd to play. (Week 2, Vegas at the Chargers)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 66.7

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