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Jared Dubin· Nov 2, 2026

Dubin picks Seattle to beat Chicago at home on Monday night, forecasting a 24-20 final score, and expects the Seahawks' defense to shut down D'Andre Swift as it did Kenneth Walker.

“Prediction: Seahawks 24, Bears 20”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 availability calls and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 19.1 out of 100, against 10.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks 24 — Bears 20

    “Pick the Seahawks to take care of business at home. Prediction: Seahawks 24, Bears 20”

    Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 10.88+13.15 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    13.15
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    10.88
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.57
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and fewer points (44).

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  • “(Nelson is likely to play a full complement in his Seattle debut, given how reluctant teams are to rotate offensive linemen.)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • “Simmons could also see his snaps limited in his first game with his new team.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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