Jay MorrisonAug 14, 2026
Following the preseason opener against Detroit, Morrison updated their Cincinnati Bengals 53-man roster projection, naming starters and backups at every position group and identifying which players are on the bubble.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Jay Morrison said
In addition to defensive tackle, the outlook for a few other position groups have changed since the initial 53-man roster projection heading into camp
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Updated Cincinnati Bengals' 53-Man Roster Projection After Preseason Opener
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidAug 14
- GradedSep 25–30
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roster Spot Calls | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | |
| All | 22 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
How each call scored
53 checkable claims — 27 depth chart calls and 26 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 54 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
22 of 53 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 63.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 8 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Chase Brown · 2026 season9 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 1. Jay Morrison said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Roster Spot Calls22 hits · 4 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Mitchell Tinsley to make the roster
“Backups: Colbie Young, Mitch Tinsley, Dohnte Meyers”
1 week on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Mitchell Tinsley
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 4
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Connor Lew to make the roster
“Backups: Cody Ford, Connor Lew, Brian Parker II, Jalen Rivers”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Connor Lew
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Landon Robinson to make the roster
“Backups: Shemar Stewart, B.J. Hill, Cashius Howell, T.J. Slaton Jr., Kris Jenkins Jr., Landon Robinson”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Landon Robinson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Erick All to make the roster
“Backups: Erick All Jr., Tanner Hudson, Jack Endries”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Erick All
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Tahj Brooks to make the roster
“Backups: Samaje Perine, Tahj Brooks ... Brooks played 41 percent of the special teams snaps, which is what should help him hold off Brightwell, Milton, Haynes and Bullock for the final spot.”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tahj Brooks
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Shemar Stewart to make the roster
“Backups: Shemar Stewart, B.J. Hill, Cashius Howell, T.J. Slaton Jr., Kris Jenkins Jr., Landon Robinson”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Shemar Stewart
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Samaje Perine to make the roster
“Backups: Samaje Perine, Tahj Brooks”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Samaje Perine
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Jalen Rivers to make the roster
“Backups: Cody Ford, Connor Lew, Brian Parker II, Jalen Rivers”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jalen Rivers
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
D.J. Ivey to make the roster
“Backups: Tacario Davis, Ja’Sir Taylor, DJ Ivey IV”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- D.J. Ivey
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Kris Jenkins to make the roster
“Backups: Shemar Stewart, B.J. Hill, Cashius Howell, T.J. Slaton Jr., Kris Jenkins Jr., Landon Robinson”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kris Jenkins
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Tanner Hudson to make the roster
“Backups: Erick All Jr., Tanner Hudson, Jack Endries”
1 week on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tanner Hudson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 2
Tacario Davis to make the roster
“Backups: Tacario Davis, Ja’Sir Taylor, DJ Ivey IV”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tacario Davis
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Oren Burks to make the roster
“Backups: Oren Burks, Shaka Heyward, Joe Giles-Harris”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Oren Burks
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Jack Endries to make the roster
“Backups: Erick All Jr., Tanner Hudson, Jack Endries”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jack Endries
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
B.J. Hill to make the roster
“Backups: Shemar Stewart, B.J. Hill, Cashius Howell, T.J. Slaton Jr., Kris Jenkins Jr., Landon Robinson”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- B.J. Hill
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Cashius Howell to make the roster
“Backups: Shemar Stewart, B.J. Hill, Cashius Howell, T.J. Slaton Jr., Kris Jenkins Jr., Landon Robinson”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Cashius Howell
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Joe Giles-Harris to make the roster
“Backups: Oren Burks, Shaka Heyward, Joe Giles-Harris”
2 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Giles-Harris
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 1
Colbie Young to make the roster
“Backups: Colbie Young, Mitch Tinsley, Dohnte Meyers”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Colbie Young
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Tedarrell Slaton to make the roster
“T.J. Slaton’s playing time against the Lions (six snaps) suggests he’s a roster lock as well despite the crowded position”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tedarrell Slaton
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- 3 weeks on a 53100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kyle Dugger
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Dohnte Meyers to make the roster
“Backups: Colbie Young, Mitch Tinsley, Dohnte Meyers”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Dohnte Meyers
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- 3 weeks on a 53100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- PJ Jules
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Ja'Sir Taylor to make the roster
“Backups: Tacario Davis, Ja’Sir Taylor, DJ Ivey IV”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Brian Parker to make the roster
“Backups: Cody Ford, Connor Lew, Brian Parker II, Jalen Rivers”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Cody Ford to make the roster
“Backups: Cody Ford, Connor Lew, Brian Parker II, Jalen Rivers”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Shaka Heyward to make the roster
“Backups: Oren Burks, Shaka Heyward, Joe Giles-Harris”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls27 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Amarius Mims to be 1st on the depth chart
“Offensive line (9) Starters: Orlando Brown Jr., Dylan Fairchild, Ted Karras, Dalton Risner, Amarius Mims”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Drew Sample to be 1st on the depth chart
“Tight end (5) Starters: Mike Gesicki, Drew Sample”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dexter Lawrence to be 1st on the depth chart
“Defensive Line (10) Starters: Boye Mafe, Dexter Lawrence II, Jonathan Allen, Myles Murphy”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Andrei Iosivas to be 1st on the depth chart
“Wide Receiver (6) Starters: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Andrei Iosivas”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
DJ Turner II to be 1st on the depth chart
“Cornerback (6) Starters: DJ Turner II, Dax Hill, Jalen Davis”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dylan Fairchild to be 1st on the depth chart
“Offensive line (9) Starters: Orlando Brown Jr., Dylan Fairchild, Ted Karras, Dalton Risner, Amarius Mims”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jordan Battle to be 1st on the depth chart
“Safety (4) Starters: Bryan Cook, Jordan Battle”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tee Higgins to be 1st on the depth chart
“Wide Receiver (6) Starters: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Andrei Iosivas”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Joe Burrow to be 1st on the depth chart
“Quarterback (2) Starter: Joe Burrow”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Orlando Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
“Offensive line (9) Starters: Orlando Brown Jr., Dylan Fairchild, Ted Karras, Dalton Risner, Amarius Mims”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
“Running Back (3) Starter: Chase Brown”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jalen Davis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Starters: DJ Turner II, Dax Hill, Jalen Davis ... Davis has the most tenuous starting job on the roster”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Ja'Marr Chase to be 1st on the depth chart
“Wide Receiver (6) Starters: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Andrei Iosivas”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Bryan Cook to be 1st on the depth chart
“Safety (4) Starters: Bryan Cook, Jordan Battle”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Myles Murphy to be 1st on the depth chart
“Defensive Line (10) Starters: Boye Mafe, Dexter Lawrence II, Jonathan Allen, Myles Murphy”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Mike Gesicki to be 1st on the depth chart
“Tight end (5) Starters: Mike Gesicki, Drew Sample”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Daxton Hill to be 1st on the depth chart
“Cornerback (6) Starters: DJ Turner II, Dax Hill, Jalen Davis”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Barrett Carter to be 1st on the depth chart
“Linebacker (5) Starters: Demetrius Knight Jr., Barrett Carter”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
William Wagner to be 1st on the depth chart
“William Wagner, long snapper”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Evan McPherson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Specialists (3) Evan McPherson, kicker”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jonathan Allen to be 1st on the depth chart
“Defensive Line (10) Starters: Boye Mafe, Dexter Lawrence II, Jonathan Allen, Myles Murphy”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Demetrius Knight Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“Linebacker (5) Starters: Demetrius Knight Jr., Barrett Carter”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dalton Risner to be 1st on the depth chart
“Offensive line (9) Starters: Orlando Brown Jr., Dylan Fairchild, Ted Karras, Dalton Risner, Amarius Mims”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Boye Mafe to be 1st on the depth chart
“Defensive Line (10) Starters: Boye Mafe, Dexter Lawrence II, Jonathan Allen, Myles Murphy”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Ted Karras to be 1st on the depth chart
“Offensive line (9) Starters: Orlando Brown Jr., Dylan Fairchild, Ted Karras, Dalton Risner, Amarius Mims”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Mitchell Tinsley, Cincinnati Bengals, Connor Lew, Landon Robinson, Erick All, Tahj Brooks, Shemar Stewart, Samaje Perine, Jalen Rivers, D.J. Ivey, Kris Jenkins, Tanner Hudson, Tacario Davis, Oren Burks, Jack Endries, B.J. Hill, Cashius Howell, Joe Giles-Harris, Colbie Young, Tedarrell Slaton, Kyle Dugger, Dohnte Meyers, PJ Jules, Amarius Mims, Drew Sample, Dexter Lawrence, Andrei Iosivas, DJ Turner II, Dylan Fairchild, Jordan Battle, Tee Higgins, Joe Burrow, Orlando Brown, Chase Brown, Jalen Davis, Ja'Sir Taylor, Ja'Marr Chase, Ryan Rehkow, Bryan Cook, Myles Murphy, Mike Gesicki, Brian Parker, Cody Ford, Daxton Hill, Barrett Carter, William Wagner, Evan McPherson, Shaka Heyward, Jonathan Allen, Demetrius Knight Jr., Dalton Risner, Joe Flacco, Boye Mafe, Ted Karras
Others on the same people
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More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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