Skip to main content

Carter Bahns· Nov 8, 2026

Bahns predicts a high-scoring Madrid game in which Atlanta's more reliable defense, bolstered by the return of pass rusher James Pearce Jr., gets the edge over Cincinnati, with the Falcons winning 34-30.

“Pick: Falcons 34, Bengals 30”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 19.1 out of 100, against 10.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The game in this take

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Atlanta Falcons 34 — Bengals 30

    “Pick: Falcons 34, Bengals 30”

    Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 10.09+13.98 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    13.98
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    10.09
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.24
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 34–30 calls a Falcons win (by 4; the line gave the Falcons 38%) and more points (64).

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these