Danny Parkins· Nov 7, 2026
Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
“I think the AFC playoff field is set except for the seedings.”
said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →
15 checkable claims — 7 playoff picks, 5 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Bengals at Falcons 20 calls
- Jets at Chiefs 20 calls
- Packers at Patriots 25 calls
- Buccaneers at Bears 23 calls
- Bills at Vikings 53 calls
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersNov 7, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Patriots
“I'll take the Packers... I'll put eight chips on Green Bay, again, to pull off the upset and win outright.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 45-27
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 7, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I expect them to beat Tampa... So I expect them to win at home at night in Jeff Simmons' first game in Chicago.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets
“Feels to me like the Chiefs should destroy the Jets... I would expect this to be pretty convincing.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 12-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).
- Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsNov 7, 2026
Atlanta Falcons to beat Bengals
“But I'm I'm taking the underdog, straight up. Falcons still win the game... I'll go small on the Falcons to pull off the upset”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 34-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · underdog pick, Falcons 38%.
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosNov 7, 2026
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksCincinnati BengalsNov 7, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 7, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsNov 7, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars, and everybody else is honestly playing for draft position at this point.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2026
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksNew England PatriotsNov 7, 2026
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersNew York GiantsNov 7, 2026
New York Giants to win the division
“I had the Giants. I had the Giants win in the NFC East... So my predictions week should just stay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“I think Josh Allen will have close to 300 yards, multiple touchdowns, and win this game... 22 chips on the Bills.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsChicago BearsNov 7, 2026
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
“So let's get Seattle out of there, keep Buffalo. Bills, Bears is our new Super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I think it is gonna be the Steelers and the Bengals, the Pats and the Bills, the Chiefs and the Broncos, and the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2026
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“But the Bears traded for Jeff Simmons. So let's get Seattle out of there, keep Buffalo. Bills, Bears is our new Super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Parker HurleyTrade and Signing Calls · Jessie BatesMiss · 0Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Dan "Buzz" WilsonPlayoff Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Wilson argued the Eagles' offseason approach of prioritizing 2026 and beyond doesn't mean a bad 2025 — he expects them to remain among the NFC's best teams and to make a deep playoff run rather than fall off to eight or nine wins.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Minnesota VikingsMiss · 0Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.
- Dwaine BoardPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Board argues the 49ers can still make the playoffs even if Trent Williams leaves, expects Williams to be brought back, and favors drafting a wide receiver at No. 27 over an offensive tackle.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Eisen agreed the NFC West will send three teams to the playoffs (Seahawks, 49ers and Rams), endorsed the Bears finishing no worse than the No. 2 seed, and said Chicago would beat Green Bay at home.