Parker Hurley· Nov 6, 2026
Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
“This could be a dream addition, but not a realistic one.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Jessie Bates to stay with Atlanta Falcons
“unless they lose again in Week 9 and things break against them in Week 9, they might not be sellers. This could be a dream addition, but not a realistic one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 55-85.8 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- −85.8
- player:
- Jessie Bates
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he stays
- was with:
- ATL
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 55
- reported:
- traded → JAX (from ATL)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- 55% of players are with the same club the next season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Trade and Signing CallsJi'Ayir BrownNov 6, 2026
Ji'Ayir Brown to move — “likely to leave in free agency after this year”
“Brown is likely to leave in free agency after this year, and the team does not have plans to extend the other two, either.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 19Bahns predicts a high-scoring Madrid game in which Atlanta's more reliable defense, bolstered by the return of pass rusher James Pearce Jr., gets the edge over Cincinnati, with the Falcons winning 34-30.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Absent from the show, Brew sent in his upset alert pick of Atlanta to beat Cincinnati in Madrid.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 19Dajani picked all seven featured Week 9 games with final scores, including a blowout Jaguars win in Baltimore, an Atlanta upset of Cincinnati in Madrid, and a narrow Bills win in Minneapolis.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Sullivan flags five Week 9 underdogs he expects to pull upsets: the Packers at New England, the Vikings over Buffalo, the winless Chargers over Houston, the Panthers over Denver, and the Falcons over Cincinnati in Madrid.
- Leonard FournetteGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Co-host (identified in the transcript only as "Leonard") went week-by-week on Atlanta's schedule, ranked the NFC North, predicted Odell Beckham Jr. over 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns, picked the Bears, Bengals and Texans in their divisions, and took the Bengals over the 49ers in the Super Bowl.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Doug JoubertTrade and Signing Calls · Kendre MillerHit · 100Joubert doubts Taysom Hill will return to the Saints for financial reasons and believes Hill has retired from the NFL. He also expects CJ Donaldson to get more carries while the Saints move on from Kendre Miller.
- Randy GurziTrade and Signing Calls · Taylor RappMiss · 0Gurzi argues that, given Brandon Beane's fondness for reunions, recently released safety Taylor Rapp is a realistic option to return to Buffalo for safety depth — though only if the Bills fail to land a starting-caliber safety at the trade deadline.
- Sean PaytonTrade and Signing Calls · Taylor RappHit · 100Payton said there is a better than good chance safety Taylor Rapp re-signs with the Broncos, and expects it to happen sooner rather than later.
- Joe MarinoTrade and Signing Calls · Taylor RappHit · 100Marino argues the Bills should and almost certainly will release safety Taylor Rapp to save cap space, saying he'd be stunned if Buffalo kept him.
- Albert BreerTrade and Signing Calls · Jacoby BrissettHit · 100Breer argues the Jaguars should be taken very seriously, seeing a path to 13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed with a first-round bye, and he expects the Jacoby Brissett trade to Baltimore to be completed within a day.
- Nathan JahnkeTrade and Signing Calls · Jacoby BrissettHit · 100In a Week 9 recap, Jahnke expects Mark Andrews to remain Baltimore's lead tight end but says rookie Matt Hibner is more likely than Josh Cuevas to eventually overtake him, and he anticipates the Ravens acquiring Jacoby Brissett to start at quarterback. He also suggests Brian Thomas Jr. may have played his final game for Jacksonville ahead of the trade deadline.