Skip to main content

Erick TrickelAug 15, 2026

After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader).

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
2 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Erick Trickel said

Prentice should stick on the roster over any of them.
Our reading: Adam Prentice to make the roster
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
10 Bite-Sized Takeaways From Broncos' 27-7 Rout of Falcons
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 15
  2. GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened2 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Adam Prentice
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.