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Rich Eisen· Feb 13, 2026

Asked to rank the 2024 quarterback draft class two years in, Rich Eisen put Caleb Williams first, Drake Maye second, Jayden Daniels third, Bo Nix fourth and JJ McCarthy/Michael Penix fifth. He also expects JJ McCarthy to start Week 1 next season and guesses Atlanta finds a way to keep Kirk Cousins.

“I'll go Knicks four, Jaden Daniels three because I don't know what he's gonna look like coming back... I'll go May 2, and I'll go Caleb one.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart

    “And then there's JJ McCarthy, who I think is gonna start week one of next year.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIN
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    J.J. McCarthy
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons

    “If I had to guess, Atlanta's gonna keep him. They'll figure out how to keep him.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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