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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 13, 2026

Asked to rank the 2024 quarterback draft class two years in, Rich Eisen put Caleb Williams first, Drake Maye second, Jayden Daniels third, Bo Nix fourth and JJ McCarthy/Michael Penix fifth. They also expect JJ McCarthy to start Week 1 next season and guesses Atlanta finds a way to keep Kirk Cousins.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
91.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'll go Knicks four, Jaden Daniels three because I don't know what he's gonna look like coming back... I'll go May 2, and I'll go Caleb one.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Ranking the ’24 NFL Draft QB Class, plus Basketball Hall of Famer Tim Hardaway Sr.
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 13
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart“And then there's JJ McCarthy, who I think is gonna start week one of next year.”
  2. 2Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons“If I had to guess, Atlanta's gonna keep him. They'll figure out how to keep him.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+8.33
Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting10091.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsJ.J. McCarthyMinnesota Vikings

    J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive1difficulty+8.33skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIN
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    J.J. McCarthy
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta Falcons

    Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.