Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 25, 2026
Pelissero laid out the Giants' quarterback situation with Jameis Winston starting, said Jayden Daniels likely won't be back when Washington plays the Giants and that Caleb Williams is unlikely to play Monday night, and floated Joey Porter Jr. landing in Dallas and Kirk Cousins being traded in-season.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Bill Simmons Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Tom Pelissero said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromFor right now, they paid Jameis Winston. He's gonna be the starting quarterback.
- Where it was said
- The Bill Simmons Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- The Buffalo Curse, a Mega-Mailbag, QB Roulette, and Week 3 Picks With Joe House and Tom Pelissero
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 24
- GradedOct 8–Nov 11
- 1Kirk Cousins to move — “being traded during the season”“I would absolutely not rule out the possibility Kirk Cousins being traded during the season.”
- 2Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys“he's gonna try to trade for Joey Porter junior... That to me is the most logical team if they're gonna trade.”
- 3Jameis Winston to be 1st on the depth chart“For right now, they paid Jameis Winston. He's gonna be the starting quarterback.”
- 4J.J. McCarthy to be 2nd on the depth chart“Jay Kaders in line to back him up this week.”
- 5Availability Calls“he's gonna be back soon. He didn't practice today. It's unlikely that he plays Monday night.”
- 6Availability Calls“You got Tennessee at home, Arizona at home, and Washington when Jaden Daniels is probably still not back.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins to move — “being traded during the season”1 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +189 | |
| Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys2 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +189 | |
| Jameis Winston to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| J.J. McCarthy to be 2nd on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| “he's gonna be back soon. He didn't practice today. It's…”5 | Availability Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| “You got Tennessee at home, Arizona at home, and Washington when…”6 | Availability Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 calls · 2 hits · 4 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive6 checkable claims — 2 availability calls, 2 depth chart calls and 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Jameis Winston · 2026 season22 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 2. Tom Pelissero said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
1Trade and Signing CallsKirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins to move — “being traded during the season”
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.89difficulty=+189skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 189
- player:
- Kirk Cousins
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- ATL
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded (from LV)
- how he left:
- traded
- mechanism:
- traded
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
2Trade and Signing CallsJoey Porter Jr.Dallas Cowboys
Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.89difficulty=+189skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 189
- player:
- Joey Porter Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- DAL
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → DAL (from PIT)
- how he left:
- traded
- mechanism:
- traded
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
3Depth Chart CallsJameis WinstonNew York Giants
Jameis Winston to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Depth Chart CallsJ.J. McCarthyNew York Giants
J.J. McCarthy to be 2nd on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears
“he's gonna be back soon. He didn't practice today. It's unlikely that he plays Monday night.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Availability CallsJayden DanielsWashington Commanders
“You got Tennessee at home, Arizona at home, and Washington when Jaden Daniels is probably still not back.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.