Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 12, 2026

In their Week 1 start/sit running back advice, Brown projects several backs to handle workhorse or lead-back roles for their teams — MarShawn Lloyd in Green Bay, Jonathon Brooks over Chuba Hubbard in Carolina, Tony Pollard in Tennessee, and David Montgomery in Houston — and calls Bhayshul Tuten a candidate for a big breakout season.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting5 calls, none settled yet

—Average accuracynothing settled yet

—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

0 of 5Settled5 still waiting

#12Derek Brown’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Derek Brown said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I'm not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team's workhorse.

Derek Brown, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: FantasyPros
The piece: Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice: Running Backs (Week 1)
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

1Chuba Hubbard to be 2nd on the depth chart“I expect Jonathon Brooks to lead the backfield this season, but Hubbard should still be a sizable portion of the rushing attack to open the season.”
2Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart“Brian Daboll has a long history of utilizing one workhorse back in his offenses, so I'm still projecting Tony Pollard to be that guy.”
3MarShawn Lloyd to be 1st on the depth chart“MarShawn Lloyd looks primed to enter Week 1 as the Packers' workhorse back with Josh Jacobs on the commissioner-exempt list.”
4Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart“I expect Jonathon Brooks to lead the backfield this season, but Hubbard should still be a sizable portion of the rushing attack to open the season.”
5David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team's workhorse.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Chuba Hubbard to be 2nd on the depth chart¹	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
MarShawn Lloyd to be 1st on the depth chart³	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart⁴	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart⁵	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
5 calls · 5 waiting			—	—

How each call scored

5 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 4.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

MarShawn Lloyd · 2026 season

Derek Brown — 1the room — 19 calls from 13 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

2They said

1The room (9 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

1Depth Chart Calls Chuba Hubbard Carolina Panthers
Chuba Hubbard to be 2nd on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Tony Pollard Tennessee Titans
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
3Depth Chart Calls MarShawn Lloyd Green Bay Packers
MarShawn Lloyd to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
4Depth Chart Calls Jonathon Brooks Carolina Panthers
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
5Depth Chart Calls David Montgomery Houston Texans
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Shaun Calderon · Trade and Signing Calls · Jeffery Simmons · Miss 0
Calderon argues the 0-5 Titans won't turn their season around, that Cam Ward won't be benched soon, and that Jeffery Simmons stays in Tennessee while Tony Pollard and Calvin Ridley are likely trade candidates with modest returns.
Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Houston Texans · Close 55
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
Jared Koch · Game Outcome Picks · Houston Texans · Hit 100
Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
Zachary Pereles · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints.
Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.
Garrett Podell · Depth Chart Calls · Carson Beck · Miss 0
Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut.