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Jared Koch· Nov 7, 2026

Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.

“Texans Take Home a 10+ Point Victory”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Houston Texans to beat Chargers

    “Texans Take Home a 10+ Point Victory ... puts together a multiple-score victory in hopes of starting another late-season run similar to 2025.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 2 in 3 (67%).

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