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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 8, 2026

Wright's Week 1 'Mahomes Mountain' quarterback hierarchy for the 2026 season keeps Patrick Mahomes at No. 1 as the best quarterback in the league, tiers 28 quarterbacks across seven rows, and leaves Geno Smith, Tua Tagovailoa, Jacoby Brissett and Deshaun Watson off the mountain entirely. He also suggests Tagovailoa and Watson won't hold their starting jobs much longer.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I understand it's now a controversial opinion to say Mahomes is the best quarterback in the league…
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
Mahomes Mountain Week 1: 'It's Go Time' As 4 Quarterbacks Are Left Off
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards“I understand it's now a controversial opinion to say Mahomes is the best quarterback in the league…”
  2. 2Deshaun Watson to be a starter“DeShaun, who's not long to be the starter.”
  3. 3Tua Tagovailoa to be a starter“Tua, who I don't think is long to be the starter.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards1Positional Finishes————
Deshaun Watson to be a starter2Depth Chart Calls————
Tua Tagovailoa to be a starter3Depth Chart Calls————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the room

positional finish
1They said
1The room (3 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Positional FinishesPatrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.