Jerry Jones· Oct 5, 2026
Expects a shootout decided on the last possession, with the Saints beating the Falcons 31-27.
“My gut tells me the Saints pull this one out in a game that'll come down to the last possession.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 9.5 out of 100, against 1.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Falcons at Saints 32 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsNew Orleans SaintsOct 5, 2026
New Orleans Saints 31 — Falcons 27
“Prediction: Saints 31, Falcons 27”
Miss · 10Scored 9.52a naive guess scored 1.56+14.57 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 45-24
- skill:
- 14.57
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 9.52
- baseline:
- 1.56
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.66
- predicted margin:
- 4
What others said about the same people
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 19Dubin picked the Saints to beat the Falcons 28-20 on Monday night.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Dajani picked the Saints to edge the Falcons 23-20.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Dubin predicts the Saints beat the Falcons in a close Monday night game, 23-20, if New Orleans can avoid turnovers.
- Grant GordonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts Tyler Shough throws for 400 yards and the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, with a blocked punt recovered for a touchdown.
- Bobby KownackGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, sealing it with a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in the game's final minutes.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Breech picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-23 on Monday night, and said if Lamar Jackson misses time, Tyler Huntley would start for Baltimore.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Prisco picked the Falcons to outscore the Saints 33-30.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 55Sullivan picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-24.
- Darius HayesScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Predicts the Falcons grind out a close road win, 20-17, behind the running game and late defensive stops.
- Gerald Thomas, IIIScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 60Predicts the Falcons win on the road in New Orleans by a score of 25-21.
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 67Believes the Falcons' play in the trenches decides the game and picks Atlanta 27-20.