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John Middlekauff#48 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 27, 2025

Middlekauff says Deebo Samuel's departure from San Francisco is now effectively official — they will not be a 49er in 2025 — and pegs their trade value at only a fifth- or sixth-round pick, with a real chance the team simply has to cut them.

Said on air or in an interview · 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Ended up with WASWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#48John Middlekauff’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Middlekauff said

So at Deebo Samuel, which all signs pointed to. It's unofficial now will not be a forty nine er in twenty twenty five.
Our reading: Deebo Samuel Sr. to move
The episode
3 & Out - Combine update, Sean McVay speaks, What's going on with Aaron Rodgers
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 27, 2025
  2. GradedSep 18, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedEnded up with WAS
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Deebo Samuel Sr.
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    SF
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    WAS
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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