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Chris Broussard#77 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 2, 2026

Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
95.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#77Chris Broussard’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Broussard said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm gonna say two touchdown passes. K. No interceptions.
Chris Broussard, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
First Things First (podcast)
The episode
Ravens vs. Steelers preview, Miami beats Ohio Sate, Panthers vs. Bucs, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidJan 2
  2. GradedAug 14–17
  1. 1Cleveland Browns to beat Bengals“Browns over the Bengals. That's seven and a half points, I believe... So I see an upset coming”
  2. 2Myles Garrett to record 24 sacks“I think he'll get two sacks at least. Yeah. I think he's gonna get two at least and break the record”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cleveland Browns to beat Bengals1Game Outcome Picks—1000+106
Myles Garrett to record 24 sacks2Player Season Numbers2391.670+97.17
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled95.80

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 95.8 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksCleveland Browns

    Cleveland Browns to beat Bengals

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.06difficulty+106skill

    Closing line (Jan 4): Bengals by 9.5 · underdog pick, Browns about 1 in 5 (21%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    20-18
    skill:
    106
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Player Season NumbersMyles GarrettCleveland Browns

    Myles Garrett to record 24 sacks

    What happened23called 24
    91.67Hit · naive 0
    91.67this call0a naive guess91.67better than naive1.06difficulty+97.17skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    9.03
    skill:
    97.17
    what happened:
    23
    player:
    Myles Garrett
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    24
    statistic:
    sacks
    difficulty:
    1.06
    last season:
    14
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    position average:
    4.06
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    95.8naive 0

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