Skip to main content

Danny HeifetzSep 26, 2025

Heifetz takes the Chargers over the Giants in Jackson Dart's first start, arguing Justin Herbert and the league's best defense win out, and they also picked the Steelers to beat the Vikings in Dublin with Aaron Rodgers outdueling Carson Wentz late.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Danny Heifetz said

This is really boring, but I'm doing the Chargers giving six and a half to the Giants.
Our reading: Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Vikings
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 4 Picks from Dublin with The Ringer Fantasy Football Show
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Vikings

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 28): Vikings by 2.5 · underdog pick, Steelers 43%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    21-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.