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Lance Zierlein#11 of 87 NFL pundits · May 22, 2026

Zierlein picked the Spurs to win their upcoming home games against Oklahoma City and said the series would be 3-1 after four games; they also suggested the Rockets should win a playoff series in 2026-27. They argued Matthew Stafford is the second-best quarterback in the NFL right now, expects Stafford out of the league by the third year, and predicted Ty Simpson will play no meaningful football for their first two Rams seasons. They also think Kansas City will regress and is confident in the Texans in the AFC.

Said on air, transcribed by us · John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
#11Lance Zierlein’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Lance Zierlein said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He's definitely ahead of Lamar Jackson. He's definitely ahead of Joe Burrow. He's definitely ahead of Pat Mahomes.
Lance Zierlein, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
5/22 Hour 2: Best path forward for the Rockets + Ranking NFL QBs
The original
Hear the original
  1. 1Ty Simpson to be 2nd on the depth chart“if Stafford stays healthy, will play no meaningful football for the first two years at the Rams”
  2. 2Matthew Stafford to finish top 2 at his position, by passing yards“Second best quarterback in the league right now. Yeah. Why not?... He's definitely ahead of Lamar Jackson. He's definitely ahead of Joe Burrow. He's definitely ahead of Pat Mahomes.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ty Simpson to be 2nd on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls————
Matthew Stafford to finish top 2 at his position, by passing yards2Positional Finishes————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Ty Simpson · 2026 season

12 calls from 9 pundits between 1 and 3. Lance Zierlein said 2. the room's median is 2. not settled yet

Lance Zierlein — 2the room — 12 calls from 9 punditsmedian 2

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

2They said
2The room (9 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsTy SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Ty Simpson to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Positional FinishesMatthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams

    Matthew Stafford to finish top 2 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.