Sam MonsonSep 17, 2026
They assume Carson Wentz will start at quarterback for Minnesota in Week 2, and they believe the Steelers are more likely to trade Joey Porter Jr. than to give them a top-of-the-market contract.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast)Hear the original
What Sam Monson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMy assumption is Carson Wentz will be the quarterback in this game.
- Where it was said
- Check the Mic (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 2 Preview & Picks: EVERY GAME!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 17
- GradedOct 8
- 1Joey Porter Jr. to move — “more chance they trade him away than they give him a giant top of the market contract”“I honestly think there's more chance they trade him away than they give him a giant top of the market contract.”
- 2Availability Calls“My assumption is Carson Wentz will be the quarterback in this game. (Week 2, Vikings at Bears)”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Porter Jr. to move — “more chance they trade him away than they give him a giant top of the market contract”1 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +194 | |
| “My assumption is Carson Wentz will be the quarterback in this…”2 | Availability Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Trade and Signing CallsJoey Porter Jr.
Joey Porter Jr. to move — “more chance they trade him away than they give him a giant top of the market contract”
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.94difficulty=+194skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 194
- player:
- Joey Porter Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → DAL (from PIT)
- how he left:
- traded
- mechanism:
- traded
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
2Availability CallsCarson WentzMinnesota Vikings
“My assumption is Carson Wentz will be the quarterback in this game. (Week 2, Vikings at Bears)”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.
More availability calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jose Sanchez · Availability Calls · Keenan Allen · Waiting
Sanchez expects Keenan Allen to play in the 49ers' game against Dallas in a limited role on passing downs, and argues an injury is more likely than not given age and injury history, meaning Allen will end up being more of the same at receiver for San Francisco.Ralph Ventre · Availability Calls · Alec Anderson · Waiting
Ventre projects Buffalo's Week 10 offensive line at the Jets to feature Dawkins, Anderson, McGovern and Torrence back in place, with Tylan Grable making a third straight start at right tackle in place of Spencer Brown, who appears headed for the inactive list.Shanna McCarriston · Availability Calls · Drew Lock · Waiting
Previewing three Week 10 games, McCarriston expects the Steelers-Bengals rematch to be a close, exciting contest, with one team's four-game win streak ending. Notes that Deshaun Watson is set to return for Cleveland against Houston, and that Fernando Mendoza will make a first NFL start for the Raiders against Seattle.Ian Rapoport · Availability Calls · Spencer Brown · Waiting
Rapoport expected Spencer Brown to be available for Buffalo on Sunday despite the missed practice time, saw Lamar Jackson returning from thumb surgery around Week 16 or 17 if Baltimore stays alive, said the Chargers have no intention of moving on from Justin Herbert, and expected George Pickens to play for Dallas.