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Jason La CanforaOct 15, 2026

La Canfora lays out why the Browns can hang with and possibly beat the Ravens in Cleveland, citing Baltimore's struggling secondary, Todd Monken's revenge angle, a shuffled Ravens offensive line and the rivalry's history of weirdness in Cleveland. They also expect the game to stay close rather than become a blowout.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Browns 13–10What happenedRavens at Browns
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Jason La Canfora said

And maybe even pull off the upset.
Our reading: Cleveland Browns to beat Ravens
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
4 Reasons The Browns Could Upset The Ravens Sunday
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksCleveland Browns

    Cleveland Browns to beat Ravens

    What happenedBrowns 13–10Ravens at Browns
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3 · underdog pick, Browns 40%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    10-13
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?

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