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Jeff CavanaughAug 25, 2026

Building their projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

17 of 18calls landed17 hits · 1 miss · 10 waiting
94.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 18 calls
83.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
18 of 28Settled10 still waiting
10Waitingnot graded yet

What Jeff Cavanaugh said

So Marquise Bell is making your football team.
Jeff Cavanaugh, the lead quote
The episode
Cowboys Defense 53-Man Roster Projection: Who Actually Makes It?
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 25
  2. GradedSep 25–Nov 9

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Roster Spot Calls17013
Depth Chart Calls0007
All170110

How each call scored

28 checkable claims — 21 roster spot calls and 7 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 25 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

18 of 28 have settled so far, averaging 94.4 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 4.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Caleb Downs · 2026 season

7 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 3. Jeff Cavanaugh said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Jeff Cavanaugh — 1the room — 7 calls from 6 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Roster Spot Calls17 hits · 1 miss · 3 waitingShow ▸
  1. Marist Liufau to make the roster

    “I'm gonna say Leofell makes it as a special teamer. I believe I'm with you.”

    Marist LiufauDallas Cowboys

    1 week on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Marist Liufau
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    9
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Jonathan Bullard to make the roster

    “So if they play a roster game with Bullard ... if you're gonna have him hurt, he has to make it first. ... Put Bullard in as the left defensive end.”

    Jonathan BullardDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jonathan Bullard
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Curtis Robinson to be cut

    “the Curtis Robinson can go and, Robert Pattinson or whatever”

    Curtis RobinsonDallas Cowboys

    1 week on a 53
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Curtis Robinson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he does not make the 53
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    2
    weeks on the practice squad:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  4. DeMarvion Overshown to make the roster

    “Overshone and Barham is what I say are the first two moving over there.”

    DeMarvion OvershownDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    DeMarvion Overshown
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Jalen Thompson to make the roster

    “So it's safety, Jalen Thompson, Malik Hooker. Bang and bang.”

    Jalen ThompsonDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jalen Thompson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Kenny Clark to make the roster

    “I got Quinton making the team. I got Kenny making the team.”

    Kenny ClarkDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kenny Clark
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  7. L.T. Overton to make the roster

    “Let's just be honest. We know Overton's gonna be here. ... I just wanted to give him some notes as he makes the team.”

    L.T. OvertonDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    200
    player:
    L.T. Overton
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Malik Hooker to make the roster

    “So it's safety, Jalen Thompson, Malik Hooker. Bang and bang.”

    Malik HookerDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Malik Hooker
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Donovan Ezeiruaku to make the roster

    “Put Esaraku and Gary, they can go as numbers one and two.”

    Donovan EzeiruakuDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Donovan Ezeiruaku
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Rashan Gary to make the roster

    “Put Esaraku and Gary, they can go as numbers one and two.”

    Rashan GaryDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Rashan Gary
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  11. P.J. Locke to make the roster

    “So PJ Locke is in.”

    P.J. LockeDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    P.J. Locke
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Jaishawn Barham to make the roster

    “Overshone and Barham is what I say are the first two moving over there.”

    Jaishawn BarhamDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Jaishawn Barham
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Quinnen Williams to make the roster

    “Put Quentin at the left. ... I got Quinton making the team.”

    Quinnen WilliamsDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Quinnen Williams
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Markquese Bell to make the roster

    “So Marquise Bell is making your football team.”

    Markquese BellDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Markquese Bell
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Malachi Lawrence to make the roster

    “Malachi Lawrence gonna be in there.”

    Malachi LawrenceDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Malachi Lawrence
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  16. Otito Ogbonnia to make the roster

    “But Tito goes to the top. Put Tito Obonia as the right defensive end”

    Otito OgbonniaDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Otito Ogbonnia
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  17. Von Miller to make the roster

    “congratulations to Von Miller on making the football team”

    Von MillerDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Von Miller
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  18. Shemar James to make the roster

    “Shamar James on the team. Shamar James on the team.”

    Shemar JamesDallas Cowboys

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    DAL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Shemar James
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  19. Tyler Baron to land on the practice squad

    “And and we're gonna put my man back on the credit squad. Baron?”

    Tyler BaronDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  20. Tommy Dunn to land on the practice squad

    “target for the practice squad, most likely. I would imagine so.”

    Tommy DunnDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  21. Devin Moore to make the roster

    “Devin Moore is gonna make the football team, and this is coming from somebody who really likes Devin Moore as a draft prospect.”

    Devin MooreDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Depth Chart Calls7 waitingShow ▸
  1. DaRon Bland to be 1st on the depth chart

    “My starters, Kobe Durant and Deron Bland. ... Put Bland and Rebel.”

    DaRon BlandDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Shavon Revel Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think Rebel's gonna start in front of, Durant.”

    Shavon Revel Jr.Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Jaishawn Barham to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Starting linebacker, Jayshawn Barham.”

    Jaishawn BarhamDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Jonathan Bullard to be 5th on the depth chart

    “the fact that he is a proven veteran NFL defensive lineman to me does make him number five in this group”

    Jonathan BullardDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Devin Moore to be 5th on the depth chart

    “So I think Devin Moore's quarterback five.”

    Devin MooreDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Caleb Downs to be 1st on the depth chart

    “And we know downs are gonna be the slot.”

    Caleb DownsDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. L.T. Overton to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “You could put him, r d e two. You can put him r d e two if you want to.”

    L.T. OvertonDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.