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Michael HanichSep 20, 2026

Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates their confidence in the Seahawks at 7. They also suggest safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Michael Hanich said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
There is no reason to think that head coach Mike Macdonald won't have his team fully ready by the time the game starts.
Michael Hanich, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Seattle Seahawks Confidence Meter: Is Week 2 at Cardinals a Trap Game?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 20
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona Cardinals“History Favors the Seahawks... There is no reason to think that head coach Mike Macdonald won't have his team fully ready by the time the game starts... This could be a matchup that the Seahawks could easily exploit. Confidence Meter: 7 (Week 2 at Arizona)”
  2. 2Availability Calls“It won't help that Emmanwori could miss his second consecutive game for the Seahawks. (Week 2)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona Cardinals1Game Outcome PicksSeahawks 31–71000+194
“It won't help that Emmanwori could miss his second consecutive…”2Availability Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting1000

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona Cardinals

    What happenedSeahawks 31–7Seahawks at Cardinals
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Seahawks by 3.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 2 in 3 (66%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    31-7
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ARI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Availability CallsNick EmmanworiSeattle Seahawks

    “It won't help that Emmanwori could miss his second consecutive game for the Seahawks. (Week 2)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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