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Tracy SandlerSep 26, 2026

Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with their hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 5calls landed5 hits · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
60A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5Games calledeveryone’s picks below
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Tracy Sandler said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But my prediction is he misses two to three weeks.
Tracy Sandler, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
The episode
Fox Sports Saturday with Carmen Vitali and Tracy Sandler give their best NFL picks and discuss the QB injuries going around the league
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 26
  2. PlayedSep 27–28
  3. GradedSep 28–29
  1. 1Chicago Bears to beat Philadelphia“I actually think the Bears are going to win this game... the Eagles almost lost the Titans last week. And they didn't look great. I'm going with the Bears.”
  2. 2Baltimore Ravens to beat Dallas“I'm going to go Baltimore on this one. I think that they're better than what we saw last week, and I trust their defense.”
  3. 3Minnesota Vikings to beat Tampa Bay“Well, I had picked Tampa Bay earlier in the week, but Carmen has convinced me that they're going to lose, so I'm now going with the Vikings.”
  4. 4Denver Broncos to beat Rams“it's a game that earlier in the week I picked Denver to win so I will stand by that / I'm going with the Broncos.”
  5. 5Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers“Breaks my heart for Jim Harbaugh to start a season 0-3, but I'm going to have to go with the Bills.”
  6. 6Availability Calls“I am not a doctor or trainer, a coach or anything of the sort. But my prediction is he misses two to three weeks.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to beat Philadelphia1Game Outcome PicksBears 27–71001000
Baltimore Ravens to beat Dallas2Game Outcome PicksRavens 34–311000+189
Minnesota Vikings to beat Tampa Bay3Game Outcome PicksVikings 23–161000+189
Denver Broncos to beat Rams4Game Outcome PicksBroncos 30–261001000
Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers5Game Outcome PicksBills 24–161001000
“I am not a doctor or trainer, a coach or anything of the sort.…”6Availability Calls————
6 calls · 5 hits · 1 waiting10060

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Philadelphia

    What happenedBears 27–7Eagles at Bears
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 28): Eagles by 3.5 · underdog pick, Bears 36%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Dallas

    What happenedRavens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to beat Tampa Bay

    What happenedVikings 23–16Vikings at Buccaneers
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Vikings by 1.5 · a toss-up, Vikings 50%, Buccaneers 50%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    23-16
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Rams

    What happenedBroncos 30–26Rams at Broncos
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Rams 50%, Broncos 50%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    What happenedBills 24–16Chargers at Bills
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    16-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    “I am not a doctor or trainer, a coach or anything of the sort. But my prediction is he misses two to three weeks.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 60

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these