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Greg AumanSep 10, 2026

Auman names eight quarterbacks they expect to land rich new contract extensions in the coming year, projecting the 2024 draft class quartet (Daniels, Maye, Nix, Williams) at $55 million per year or more, Sam Darnold around $60 million per year, and Lamar Jackson's next deal topping $350 million, with Stroud and Young as conditional extension candidates.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting8 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 8Settled8 still waiting
8Waitingnot graded yet

What Greg Auman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If their success continues this season, all four would be in line for $55 million a year or more.
Greg Auman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
Who Is The Next Quarterback To Receive Rich Extension? Here Are 8 Candidates
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Bryce Young to move to Carolina Panthers“Do that, and he'll be in line for double what he's due to make in 2027”
  2. 2Caleb Williams to sign for $55M+ a year with Chicago Bears“If their success continues this season, all four would be in line for $55 million a year or more.”
  3. 3C.J. Stroud to move to Houston Texans“If Stroud can get back to his rookie-year stardom ... he would quickly elevate to the $50 million status and higher.”
  4. 4Jayden Daniels to sign for $55M+ a year with Washington Commanders“If their success continues this season, all four would be in line for $55 million a year or more.”
  5. 5Drake Maye to sign for $55M+ a year with New England Patriots“If their success continues this season, all four would be in line for $55 million a year or more.”
  6. 6Lamar Jackson to move to Baltimore Ravens“If the Ravens give Jackson the same treatment next spring, his next deal might top $350 million.”
  7. 7Sam Darnold to sign for $54M–$66M a year with Seattle Seahawks“Darnold doesn't turn 30 until next June, and if you add a year of a rising market, he could easily be at $60 million on a new deal next spring.”
  8. 8Bo Nix to sign for $55M+ a year with Denver Broncos“If their success continues this season, all four would be in line for $55 million a year or more.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Bryce Young to move to Carolina Panthers1Trade and Signing Calls————
Caleb Williams to sign for $55M+ a year with Chicago Bears2Contract Calls————
C.J. Stroud to move to Houston Texans3Trade and Signing Calls————
Jayden Daniels to sign for $55M+ a year with Washington Commanders4Contract Calls————
Drake Maye to sign for $55M+ a year with New England Patriots5Contract Calls————
Lamar Jackson to move to Baltimore Ravens6Trade and Signing Calls————
Sam Darnold to sign for $54M–$66M a year with Seattle Seahawks7Contract Calls————
Bo Nix to sign for $55M+ a year with Denver Broncos8Contract Calls————
8 calls · 8 waiting——

How each call scored

8 checkable claims — 5 contract calls and 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsBryce YoungCarolina Panthers

    Bryce Young to move to Carolina Panthers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Contract CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    Caleb Williams to sign for $55M+ a year with Chicago Bears

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsC.J. StroudHouston Texans

    C.J. Stroud to move to Houston Texans

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Contract CallsJayden DanielsWashington Commanders

    Jayden Daniels to sign for $55M+ a year with Washington Commanders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Contract CallsDrake MayeNew England Patriots

    Drake Maye to sign for $55M+ a year with New England Patriots

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Trade and Signing CallsLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens

    Lamar Jackson to move to Baltimore Ravens

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Contract CallsSam DarnoldSeattle Seahawks

    Sam Darnold to sign for $54M–$66M a year with Seattle Seahawks

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. 8Contract CallsBo NixDenver Broncos

    Bo Nix to sign for $55M+ a year with Denver Broncos

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More contract calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.