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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 26, 2025

Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in the Super Bowl, arguing the Chiefs' coaching and quarterback advantage matches up far better with the Eagles than Buffalo would have.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I like Kansas City in the Super Bowl.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Colin Cowherd Podcast - Chiefs Beat Bills In THRILLER! Bills WAY Too Predictable, Eagles CLOBBER Commanders, Super Bowl Preview
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“Kansas City is favored by one and a half points. That would have been close to my guests, like, I like Kansas City. I like Kansas City in the Super Bowl. I think they match up really well with Philadelphia.”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Philadelphia“we got one football game left, Kansas City favored by a point and a half over Philadelphia, and I like Kansas City high scoring... I will take the best quarterback probably ever, and the best coach in my opinion, probably ever in a big game with two weeks to prepare.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl1Super Bowl PicksPHI won it50500
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Philadelphia2Game Outcome Picks—0100−100
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled2575

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedPHI won itpicked KC
    50Close · naive 50
    50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    champion:
    PHI
    runner up:
    KC
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Philadelphia

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    25naive 75

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