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Jonas Knox#69 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026

Knox picked the Steelers at home over the Falcons, their Bears over the Panthers, the Bengals over the Buccaneers, the Texans money line over the Bills, and the Cowboys over the Giants.

Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Steelers 20–13What happenedFalcons at Steelers
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#69Jonas Knox’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jonas Knox said

I think Pittsburgh rolls, and I think Pittsburgh rolls at home.
Our reading: Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons
The episode
Hour 3: Jonas, Brady & LaVar - Picks Against The Spread
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 11
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons

    What happenedSteelers 20–13Falcons at Steelers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Steelers by 6.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 72%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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