Jared Dubin· Oct 8, 2026
Dubin picked the Cowboys to rout the Buccaneers 34-17 and took the Colts to beat the Steelers 20-16 in Week 5.
“I'm taking the Colts to win a low-ish scoring game on the back of Jonathan Taylor.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 28.6 out of 100, against 32.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Buccaneers at Cowboys 28 calls
- Colts at Steelers 20 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysOct 8, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 17
“Jared Dubin's pick: Cowboys 34-17 over Buccaneers”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 32.2-6.45 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-16
- skill:
- −6.45
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 28.57
- baseline:
- 32.2
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.52
- predicted margin:
- 17
Closing line (Oct 8): Cowboys by 9.5, total 49.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 17) and more points (51).
- Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsOct 8, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 20 — Steelers 16
“Jared Dubin — Colts (+2.5) 20-16 over Steelers.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.
- Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks · Nazir StackhouseMiss · 0Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants.
- JP AcostaPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · George PickensMiss · 0JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Emari DemercadoMiss · 0Jahnke argues Bucky Irving's expanded role, including goal-line work, makes him a must-start rest of season, while Sean Tucker will still vulture a few scores. He also says Ted Hurst III won't hold fantasy value in his reduced rotational role, and that released Cowboys back Emari Demercado will likely land on the practice squad.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Cowherd praised Dak Prescott as the stabilizing force of the Cowboys and picked Dallas to beat Tampa Bay in their Week 5 matchup, while calling the Dallas coaching staff average.
- Chuck PaganoScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Pagano expected the Cowboys offense to keep rolling against Tampa Bay on Thursday night, saying it would take a miracle for Dallas not to score at least 31 points.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 90Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4.
- Derek BrownScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 95Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Dajani picked the Saints to edge the Falcons 23-20.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Breech picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-23 on Monday night, and said if Lamar Jackson misses time, Tyler Huntley would start for Baltimore.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Prisco picked the Falcons to outscore the Saints 33-30.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 55Sullivan picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-24.