Tyler Sullivan· Oct 9, 2026
Sullivan flagged Week 5 upset candidates, pointing to the Cardinals knocking off the favored Lions and the 49ers beating the Seahawks on the road.
“It also would not surprise him if the 49ers pull off a modest upset of the Seahawks to establish themselves as the clear Super Bowl favorites.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- 49ers at Seahawks 60 calls
- Lions at Cardinals 24 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 9, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks
“It also would not surprise him if the 49ers pull off a modest upset of the Seahawks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 32-29
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, 49ers 40%.
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsOct 9, 2026
Arizona Cardinals to beat Lions
“Our Tyler Sullivan named a few candidates , and the most striking are the Lions , who hold a 5.5-point edge over the Cardinals .”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 45-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5 · underdog pick, Cardinals 30%.
What others said about the same people
- Brian PeacockTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Cersosimo picked winners and scores across the Week 5 slate, including the Vikings moving to 5-0 in New Orleans, the Browns at the Jets, the Colts at Pittsburgh and the Falcons over a Lamar-less Baltimore.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Walder gave final score picks for all 14 Week 5 games, including a Jaguars blowout of the Eagles, upset calls on the Saints over the undefeated Vikings and the Jets over the Browns, plus the 49ers winning in Seattle and the Commanders beating the Giants.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Broussard picked San Francisco to win in Seattle, said Green Bay will beat Chicago at home, and took the Raiders over the Patriots as his upset-alert selection.
- Richard ShermanScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Sherman picked the 49ers to beat the Seahawks in Seattle 24-21, ranked his top five teams with San Francisco first, said Seattle's Julian Love will earn an All-Pro nod this season, and expects the Bears to edge the Packers.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Co-host Mitchell ranked the 49ers first in his top five, picked San Francisco to beat Seattle on Sunday, and said the Bears will win the NFC North.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel.
- Blaine GrisakGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo.