Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar· Oct 30, 2022
Discussing Pennsylvania's 8th District rematch between Democrat Matt Cartwright and Republican Jim Bognet, the hosts said Bognet is the likely winner in this environment, while acknowledging Cartwright has beaten him before.
“So I probably would put my money on bog Net, but he's lost before.”
said on air or in an interview · Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Race WinnersOct 30, 2022
“It's going to be a very tough race, very tough race uphill climb in a Trump district or district that he won pretty handily for for any Democrat in this environment. So I probably would put my money on bog Net, but he's lost before. Yeah, if right, if if, If you're gambling, he's probably favored in this environment.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-101 skillHow this was scored
- right:
- no
- race:
- 2022-house-pa-08
- election year:
- 2022
- skill:
- −101
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- result from:
- fec-2022
- who won:
- Matt Cartwright
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2022 U.S. House election in Pennsylvania's district 8
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Jim Bognet
- days before the vote when called:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1.01
- the winner's party:
- Democratic
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2022-11-08
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
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