Colleen WolfeSep 16, 2026

Guest-hosting a three-person power rankings draft, Wolf took the Bills at No. 1, the Ravens at No. 4, the Rams at No. 7 and the Eagles at No. 10, and they also expect Philadelphia to beat the Titans to go 2-0.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

1Games calledeveryone’s picks below

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Colleen Wolfe said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Number one this week, it is the Bills.

Colleen Wolfe, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode: Hour 2: NFL Power Rankings, NFL Insider Mike Garafolo with Guest Host Colleen Wolfe
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 16
PlayedSep 20
GradedSep 21

1Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans“they also have the Titans coming up, this week. So that should be Should be should be two and o.”
2Power Rankings“Number one this week, it is the Bills... I will go, number four, and it's the Ravens... I am going to give Sean McVay and the Rams the benefit of the doubt a week one Mulligan... Go birds. I'm gonna go with the Eagles there... They are 10”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans¹	Game Outcome Picks	Eagles 24–20	100	0	+194
“Number one this week, it is the Bills... I will go, number…”²	Power Rankings	—	—	—	—
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting			100	0

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans
What happenedEagles 24–20Eagles at Titans
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%).
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
24-20
skill:
194
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
2Power Rankings
“Number one this week, it is the Bills... I will go, number four, and it's the Ravens... I am going to give Sean McVay and the Rams the benefit of the doubt a week one Mulligan... Go birds. I'm gonna go with the Eagles there... They are 10”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?